Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $106.35K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $80.75K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $684.68K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $50.02K

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $36.82K
Potential payout: $426.16K
Potential profit: $389.34K
Multiplier: 11.57x
User PnL: $27.02K

If you invest $100 $1.16K back +$1.06K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.99K
Potential payout: $695.64K
Potential profit: $295.65K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.89K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 4:43 PM

PnL: $16.55K
Volume: $1.24K
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.99K
Potential payout: $695.64K
Potential profit: $295.65K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.89K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $201.09K
Potential payout: $226.83K
Potential profit: $25.75K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $8.3K

If you invest $100 $112.8 back +$12.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $16.36K
Volume: $15.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $9.44K
Potential profit: $4.01K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.43K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $266.63
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $82.55

If you invest $100 $112.8 back +$12.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.06K
Volume: $65.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $30.69K
Potential payout: $34.97K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.46K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $23.78K
Potential payout: $116.33K
Potential profit: $92.55K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$12.18K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.05K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $778.82K
Potential payout: $900.37K
Potential profit: $121.55K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $128.79K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $30.17K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.45K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.81K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 17.4%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $11.05K
Potential payout: $470K
Potential profit: $458.96K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $6.83K

If you invest $100 $4.26K back +$4.16K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $33.1
Potential payout: $4.41K
Potential profit: $4.38K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $2.21

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.06K
Volume: $92.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $146.6K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $73.34
User PnL: $60.58K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.48K
Volume: $4.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $101.46K
Potential payout: $101.51K
Potential profit: $50.76
User PnL: $28.87K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $12.13K
Potential payout: $12.2K
Potential profit: $73.21
User PnL: $632.21

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.33K
Volume: $215.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29.4%
Current value: $3.25K
Potential payout: $11.09K
Potential profit: $7.83K
Multiplier: 3.41x
User PnL: $2.95K

If you invest $100 $340.72 back +$240.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $5.89K
Potential profit: $4.54K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $435.73 back +$335.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.15K
Volume: $26.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $510.28K
Potential payout: $589.91K
Potential profit: $79.64K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $102.95K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $27.05K
Potential payout: $27.09K
Potential profit: $40.64
User PnL: $7.8K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.51K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $80.75K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $684.68K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $50.02K

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $36.82K
Potential payout: $426.16K
Potential profit: $389.34K
Multiplier: 11.57x
User PnL: $27.02K

If you invest $100 $1.16K back +$1.06K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.85K
Volume: $6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $27.81K
Potential payout: $31.07K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.8K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $25.33K
Potential payout: $41.52K
Potential profit: $16.19K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.63K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 93.8%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $376.1K
Potential payout: $390.34K
Potential profit: $14.25K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $34.3K

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $36K
Potential payout: $36K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.2K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $201.09K
Potential payout: $226.83K
Potential profit: $25.75K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $8.3K

If you invest $100 $112.8 back +$12.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $80.75K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $684.68K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $50.02K

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $36.82K
Potential payout: $426.16K
Potential profit: $389.34K
Multiplier: 11.57x
User PnL: $27.02K

If you invest $100 $1.16K back +$1.06K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $33.29K
Potential payout: $35.36K
Potential profit: $2.07K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.82K

If you invest $100 $106.21 back +$6.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $30.69K
Potential payout: $34.97K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.46K

If you invest $100 $113.96 back +$13.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $30.17K
Potential payout: $32.97K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.45K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

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