Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $76.33K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $142.61K
Potential payout: $1.06M
Potential profit: $913.77K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$105.55K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $174.18K
Potential payout: $313.84K
Potential profit: $139.66K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $19.11K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $176.81K
Potential payout: $237.33K
Potential profit: $60.52K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $9.93K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 7:00 PM

PnL: $11.37K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $176.81K
Potential payout: $237.33K
Potential profit: $60.52K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $9.93K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $174.18K
Potential payout: $313.84K
Potential profit: $139.66K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $19.11K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.42K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 44%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $142.61K
Potential payout: $1.06M
Potential profit: $913.77K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$105.55K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $68.93
Potential payout: $137.86K
Potential profit: $137.79K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.57K

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.13K
Volume: $18.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $10.56K
Potential payout: $15.53K
Potential profit: $4.97K
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $7.6K

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $3.49K
Potential payout: $4.18K
Potential profit: $689.42
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $269.26

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.35K
Volume: $83.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $24.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $5.72
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.12K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 72%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $168.88K
Potential payout: $172.24K
Potential profit: $3.36K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $44.93K

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $135.86K
Potential payout: $182.36K
Potential profit: $46.5K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$95.19

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.52K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 82.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $407.59K
Potential payout: $450.38K
Potential profit: $42.79K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $40.46K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $371.61K
Potential payout: $410.62K
Potential profit: $39.01K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $20.89K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.05K
Volume: $21.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $15.13K
Potential payout: $15.22K
Potential profit: $91.32
User PnL: $3.73K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $7.77K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $119.33 back +$19.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.1K
Volume: $7.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $53.18
Potential payout: $86.48
Potential profit: $33.29
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $50.2

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Draymond Green play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.1%
Current value: $46.25
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $63.75
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $42.92

If you invest $100 $237.81 back +$137.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.28K
Volume: $13.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $748.04K
Potential payout: $762.92K
Potential profit: $14.88K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $105.5K

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $75.15K
Potential payout: $135.41K
Potential profit: $60.26K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $1.11K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $54K
Potential payout: $400K
Potential profit: $346K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$63.36K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $2.69K
Potential payout: $4.76K
Potential profit: $2.07K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $690

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.74K
Volume: $698
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $100.55K
Potential payout: $101.51K
Potential profit: $964.38
User PnL: $27.95K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $29.03K
Potential payout: $41.18K
Potential profit: $12.15K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $16.11K

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.6K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: $550

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $32.66K
Potential payout: $32.74K
Potential profit: $81.86
User PnL: $882.83

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $176.81K
Potential payout: $237.33K
Potential profit: $60.52K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $9.93K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $174.18K
Potential payout: $313.84K
Potential profit: $139.66K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $19.11K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $142.61K
Potential payout: $1.06M
Potential profit: $913.77K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$105.55K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $139.14K
Potential payout: $159.02K
Potential profit: $19.88K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1.06K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $29.03K
Potential payout: $41.18K
Potential profit: $12.15K
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $16.11K

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $10.56K
Potential payout: $15.53K
Potential profit: $4.97K
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $7.6K

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

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