Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $37.92K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $95.96K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $470.19K
Multiplier: 5.90x
User PnL: $47.31K

If you invest $100 $589.97 back +$489.97 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $21.9K
Potential payout: $257.63K
Potential profit: $235.73K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$23.74K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $50.87K
Potential payout: $250.61K
Potential profit: $199.74K
Multiplier: 4.93x
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $492.61 back +$392.61 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 3:52 PM

PnL: $8.73K
Volume: $57.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $79.7K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $20.3K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $29.7K

If you invest $100 $125.47 back +$25.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $20.3K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $79.7K
Multiplier: 4.93x
User PnL: -$29.7K

If you invest $100 $492.61 back +$392.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.45K
Volume: $270.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $280.08K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $40.01K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $53.86K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $271K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $18.84K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $79.41K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.07K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $43.12K
Potential payout: $54.24K
Potential profit: $11.12K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $18.69K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $32.97K
Potential payout: $35.26K
Potential profit: $2.29K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $3.59K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.93K
Volume: $6.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $104.84
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: -$0.05

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $99.85
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $5.15
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$1.58

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.77K
Volume: $63.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $62.65K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $7.35K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $8.05K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $54.03K
Potential payout: $55.45K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.53K

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.17K
Volume: $28.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $125.35K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $92.65K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$25.74K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $95.96K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $470.19K
Multiplier: 5.90x
User PnL: $47.31K

If you invest $100 $589.97 back +$489.97 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.51K
Volume: $4.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $56.25
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $13.76
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $55.02

If you invest $100 $124.46 back +$24.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $52.77
Potential payout: $53.33
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $42.11

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.51K
Volume: $4.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $31.24K
Potential payout: $33.59K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.61K

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $7.06K
Potential payout: $34.44K
Potential profit: $27.38K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$7.74K

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.42K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $10.94K
Potential payout: $12.43K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.72K

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.18K
Potential payout: $4.89K
Potential profit: $709.19
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.88K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.36K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $159.41K
Potential payout: $236.16K
Potential profit: $76.75K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $41.98K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.3%
Current value: $23.56K
Potential payout: $59.96K
Potential profit: $36.4K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $732.36

If you invest $100 $254.45 back +$154.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.34K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $20.8K
Potential payout: $26.17K
Potential profit: $5.36K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $6.17K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $20.04K
Potential payout: $29.26K
Potential profit: $9.22K
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $8.96K

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.33K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $50.87K
Potential payout: $250.61K
Potential profit: $199.74K
Multiplier: 4.93x
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $492.61 back +$392.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $21.9K
Potential payout: $257.63K
Potential profit: $235.73K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$23.74K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $125.35K
Potential payout: $217.99K
Potential profit: $92.65K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$25.74K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $95.96K
Potential payout: $566.15K
Potential profit: $470.19K
Multiplier: 5.90x
User PnL: $47.31K

If you invest $100 $589.97 back +$489.97 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $81.79K
Potential payout: $106.91K
Potential profit: $25.12K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.99K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $79.7K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $20.3K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $29.7K

If you invest $100 $125.47 back +$25.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $62.65K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $7.35K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $8.05K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $60.4K
Potential payout: $92.92K
Potential profit: $32.52K
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $33.36K

If you invest $100 $153.85 back +$53.85 estimated profit if it wins

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