Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $27.74K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $29.3K
Potential payout: $2.09M
Potential profit: $2.06M
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $11.21K

If you invest $100 $7.14K back +$7.04K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $32.2K
Potential payout: $1.65M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$4.15K

If you invest $100 $5.13K back +$5.03K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $32.06K
Potential payout: $1.53M
Potential profit: $1.49M
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$1.39K

If you invest $100 $4.76K back +$4.66K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 8:47 AM

PnL: $5.84K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $32.06K
Potential payout: $1.53M
Potential profit: $1.49M
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$1.39K

If you invest $100 $4.76K back +$4.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $29.3K
Potential payout: $2.09M
Potential profit: $2.06M
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $11.21K

If you invest $100 $7.14K back +$7.04K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.66K
Volume: $2.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $52.61
Potential payout: $52.74
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: -$0.03

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $52.53
Potential payout: $52.74
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: -$0.11

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.58K
Volume: $10.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $83.69K
Potential payout: $84.92K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $63.35K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $6.65K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $8.75K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.34K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 97.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $209.34K
Potential payout: $216.37K
Potential profit: $7.03K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $20.55K

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $140.1K
Potential payout: $149.84K
Potential profit: $9.74K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $4.8K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.3K
Volume: $1.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.1K
Potential payout: $9.73K
Potential profit: $632.62
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $305.06

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $7.86K
Potential payout: $9.38K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $119.33 back +$19.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.14K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $140.5K
Potential payout: $150.27K
Potential profit: $9.77K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $21.76K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $79.48K
Potential payout: $85K
Potential profit: $5.53K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.1K
Volume: $73.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $4.86K
Potential payout: $25.35K
Potential profit: $20.5K
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: $4.43K

If you invest $100 $522.19 back +$422.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $4.74K
Potential payout: $38.73K
Potential profit: $33.99K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $4.1K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $85.56K
Potential payout: $192.27K
Potential profit: $106.71K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $11.09K

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $69.94K
Potential payout: $80.86K
Potential profit: $10.92K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $8.87K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.91K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $77.69K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $687.74K
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: $46.96K

If you invest $100 $985.22 back +$885.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $28.34K
Potential payout: $426.16K
Potential profit: $397.82K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $18.54K

If you invest $100 $1.5K back +$1.4K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.88K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 53.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $32.2K
Potential payout: $1.65M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$4.15K

If you invest $100 $5.13K back +$5.03K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $21.67K
Potential payout: $677.23K
Potential profit: $655.56K
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$7.41K

If you invest $100 $3.13K back +$3.03K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.86K
Volume: $6.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $2.02K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $199.58
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $192.2

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $487.65
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.83K

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.66K
Volume: $3.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Senate Republican Primary Runoff by 20–25%?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $13.68
Potential payout: $113.54
Potential profit: $99.86
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: -$0.51

If you invest $100 $829.88 back +$729.88 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $12.97
Potential payout: $13.52
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $11.74

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $85.56K
Potential payout: $192.27K
Potential profit: $106.71K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $11.09K

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $83.69K
Potential payout: $84.92K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $79.48K
Potential payout: $85K
Potential profit: $5.53K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $77.69K
Potential payout: $765.44K
Potential profit: $687.74K
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: $46.96K

If you invest $100 $985.22 back +$885.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $76.55K
Potential payout: $79.86K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.2K

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $69.94K
Potential payout: $80.86K
Potential profit: $10.92K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $8.87K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.