Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $81.93K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $16.92K
Potential payout: $470K
Potential profit: $453.08K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $12.7K

If you invest $100 $2.78K back +$2.68K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $271.06K
Potential profit: $269.3K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $135.53

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $14.67K
Potential payout: $57.53K
Potential profit: $42.86K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $3.51K

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 4:12 PM

PnL: $20.38K
Volume: $27.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $299.37
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $92.41

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $464.43
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $14.44K
Volume: $78.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $53.3K
Potential payout: $60.92K
Potential profit: $7.61K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.05K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.87K
Potential payout: $30.88K
Potential profit: $15.44
User PnL: $1.74K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.81K
Volume: $8.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $10.66

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $15.66
Potential payout: $25.89
Potential profit: $10.23
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $13.31

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.02K
Volume: $134.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $93.31K
Potential payout: $93.73K
Potential profit: $421.77
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $53.83K
Potential payout: $63.7K
Potential profit: $9.87K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$2.75K

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.22K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $252
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $868
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $5.6

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $220.58
Potential payout: $850
Potential profit: $629.43
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $50.57

If you invest $100 $385.36 back +$285.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.9K
Volume: $264.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $271.06K
Potential profit: $269.3K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $135.53

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $215.1K
Potential profit: $213.7K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $107.55

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.3K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 17.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $16.92K
Potential payout: $470K
Potential profit: $453.08K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $12.7K

If you invest $100 $2.78K back +$2.68K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $602.19
Potential payout: $86.03K
Potential profit: $85.43K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$126.98

If you invest $100 $14.29K back +$14.19K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.32K
Volume: $36.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $15.45K
Potential payout: $16.52K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.54K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $15.1K
Potential payout: $15.53K
Potential profit: $427.11
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.78K
Volume: $61.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $154.66
Potential payout: $213.33
Potential profit: $58.67
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $147.04

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $124.48
Potential payout: $228.41
Potential profit: $103.93
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $117.77

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.76K
Volume: $18.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $24.48K
Potential payout: $27.67K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$71.52

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $19.62K
Potential payout: $19.83K
Potential profit: $208.24
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $783.36

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.76K
Volume: $19.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $11.4K
Potential payout: $11.55K
Potential profit: $150.12
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.35K

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$41.59

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.75K
Volume: $962.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump endorse New Hope in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $46.87
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $62.13
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $42.13

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump endorse Religious Zionism in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $45.78
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $63.22
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $41.04

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $24.48K
Potential payout: $27.67K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$71.52

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $19.62K
Potential payout: $19.83K
Potential profit: $208.24
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $783.36

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $16.92K
Potential payout: $470K
Potential profit: $453.08K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $12.7K

If you invest $100 $2.78K back +$2.68K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $16.5K
Potential payout: $24.45K
Potential profit: $7.95K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $15.45K
Potential payout: $16.52K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.54K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $15.1K
Potential payout: $15.53K
Potential profit: $427.11
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.22K

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

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