Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5K
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $992.5K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $500
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $74.44K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $70.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.1M
- Potential profit
- $1.03M
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- -$76.3K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $94.57K
- Potential payout
- $460.22K
- Potential profit
- $365.64K
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$135.53K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
betwick
0xc851...cd2a Public @Betwick1
- PnL
- $18.08K
- Volume
- $6.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $74.95K
- Potential payout
- $205.34K
- Potential profit
- $130.39K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $23.23K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $70.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.1M
- Potential profit
- $1.03M
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- -$76.3K
Rank #2
Huludubu
0xe738...df65 Public
- PnL
- $11.45K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $118.17K
- Potential payout
- $132.77K
- Potential profit
- $14.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.94K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $73.9K
- Potential payout
- $149.29K
- Potential profit
- $75.39K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $4.21K
Rank #3
CARBEACH
0xc4c8...cabb Public
- PnL
- $7.35K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $66.52K
- Potential payout
- $134.39K
- Potential profit
- $67.87K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.66K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $33.52K
- Potential payout
- $91.83K
- Potential profit
- $58.31K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $3.32K
Rank #4
tdrhrhhd
0xd7f8...89e4 Public @fortaellinger
- PnL
- $7.32K
- Volume
- $50.44K
- Win rate
- 52%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $46.61K
- Potential payout
- $115.09K
- Potential profit
- $68.48K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $16.65K
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5K
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $992.5K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $500
Rank #5
unknwnfnd
0xbc75...3f69 Public
- PnL
- $6.71K
- Volume
- $753.68
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $392.96K
- Potential payout
- $695.64K
- Potential profit
- $302.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $51.86K
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $199.09K
- Potential payout
- $225.6K
- Potential profit
- $26.51K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $7.42K
Rank #6
BobbyAxelrod33
0xb129...34bf Public
- PnL
- $5.63K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $80.28K
- Potential payout
- $162.19K
- Potential profit
- $81.91K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$11.27K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $25.69K
- Potential payout
- $70.39K
- Potential profit
- $44.7K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$6.38K
Rank #7
BrightStars
0xc84f...e0c5 Public
- PnL
- $5.36K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $509.75K
- Potential payout
- $510K
- Potential profit
- $255
- User PnL
- $255
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $365.64K
- Potential payout
- $460.22K
- Potential profit
- $94.57K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $135.53K
Rank #8
dwFqcd4Z
0xe5c2...2ab0 Public
- PnL
- $4.37K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $68.33K
- Potential payout
- $80.86K
- Potential profit
- $12.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.26K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $40.26K
- Potential payout
- $99.41K
- Potential profit
- $59.15K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $5.38K
Rank #9
SitsToPee
0x6d57...bfc5 Public
- PnL
- $4.27K
- Volume
- $38.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $3.9K
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $151.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $89.1
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $3.28K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $231.47
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$21.04
Rank #10
VinceShelby
0x5382...f18f Public
- PnL
- $3.89K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $17.74K
- Potential payout
- $48.6K
- Potential profit
- $30.86K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$760.28
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.38K
- Potential profit
- $23.38K
- User PnL
- -$999.99
Rank #11
forcestrut1
0x0405...da82 Public
- PnL
- $3.74K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $91.65K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $282.44K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$108.69K
Rank #12
idfinsider0228
0x2b76...edef Public
- PnL
- $3.72K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $31.41K
- Potential payout
- $33.59K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.78K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $17.03K
- Potential payout
- $46.66K
- Potential profit
- $29.63K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $2.43K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $118.17K
- Potential payout
- $132.77K
- Potential profit
- $14.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.94K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $94.57K
- Potential payout
- $460.22K
- Potential profit
- $365.64K
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$135.53K
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $91.65K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $282.44K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$108.69K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $80.28K
- Potential payout
- $162.19K
- Potential profit
- $81.91K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$11.27K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $74.95K
- Potential payout
- $205.34K
- Potential profit
- $130.39K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $23.23K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $70.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.1M
- Potential profit
- $1.03M
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- -$76.3K
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