Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5K
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $992.5K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $500
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $47.58K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $45.52K
- Potential payout
- $1.1M
- Potential profit
- $1.05M
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$100.98K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $392.96K
- Potential payout
- $695.64K
- Potential profit
- $302.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $51.86K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
tdrhrhhd
0xd7f8...89e4 Public @fortaellinger
- PnL
- $7.32K
- Volume
- $50.44K
- Win rate
- 52%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $46.61K
- Potential payout
- $115.09K
- Potential profit
- $68.48K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $16.65K
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5K
- Potential payout
- $1M
- Potential profit
- $992.5K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $500
Rank #2
betwick
0xc851...cd2a Public @Betwick1
- PnL
- $7.3K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $64.68K
- Potential payout
- $205.34K
- Potential profit
- $140.66K
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $12.96K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $45.52K
- Potential payout
- $1.1M
- Potential profit
- $1.05M
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$100.98K
Rank #3
unknwnfnd
0xbc75...3f69 Public
- PnL
- $6.25K
- Volume
- $413.51
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $392.96K
- Potential payout
- $695.64K
- Potential profit
- $302.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $51.86K
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Current value
- $198.64K
- Potential payout
- $225.6K
- Potential profit
- $26.96K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.97K
Rank #4
dwFqcd4Z
0xe5c2...2ab0 Public
- PnL
- $4.62K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $68.33K
- Potential payout
- $80.86K
- Potential profit
- $12.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.26K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $40.26K
- Potential payout
- $99.41K
- Potential profit
- $59.15K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $5.38K
Rank #5
Huludubu
0xe738...df65 Public
- PnL
- $4.54K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $116.18K
- Potential payout
- $132.77K
- Potential profit
- $16.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.95K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $72.41K
- Potential payout
- $149.29K
- Potential profit
- $76.88K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $2.72K
Rank #6
SitsToPee
0x6d57...bfc5 Public
- PnL
- $4.23K
- Volume
- $34.7K
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $3.9K
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $151.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $89.1
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $3.3K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $210.43
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Rank #7
forcestrut1
0x0405...da82 Public
- PnL
- $3.74K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $91.65K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $282.44K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$108.69K
Rank #8
drop126
0xee0f...4cf5 Public
- PnL
- $3.66K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $89.57K
- Potential payout
- $365.6K
- Potential profit
- $276.03K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$82.79K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $84
Rank #9
EB99999
0x5d0f...f0ad Public
- PnL
- $3.16K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.1%
- Current value
- $13.88K
- Potential payout
- $40.76K
- Potential profit
- $26.88K
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $13.32K
- Potential payout
- $32.88K
- Potential profit
- $19.56K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $182.81
Rank #10
CARBEACH
0xc4c8...cabb Public
- PnL
- $2.76K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $65.18K
- Potential payout
- $134.39K
- Potential profit
- $69.21K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$4K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $28.93K
- Potential payout
- $91.83K
- Potential profit
- $62.91K
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.27K
Rank #11
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $2.71K
- Volume
- $19.07K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $33.46
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $12.4
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Rank #12
Chinuita
0xf4cc...571d Public
- PnL
- $2.59K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $21.05K
- Potential payout
- $51.97K
- Potential profit
- $30.92K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $13.73K
- Potential payout
- $13.75K
- Potential profit
- $20.63
- User PnL
- $4.95K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $91.65K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $282.44K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$108.69K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $72.41K
- Potential payout
- $149.29K
- Potential profit
- $76.88K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $2.72K
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $68.33K
- Potential payout
- $80.86K
- Potential profit
- $12.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.26K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $64.68K
- Potential payout
- $205.34K
- Potential profit
- $140.66K
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $12.96K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $46.61K
- Potential payout
- $115.09K
- Potential profit
- $68.48K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $16.65K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $45.52K
- Potential payout
- $1.1M
- Potential profit
- $1.05M
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$100.98K
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