Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $50.3K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $120.2K
Potential payout: $961.59K
Potential profit: $841.39K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $6.65K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $32.12K
Potential payout: $237.95K
Potential profit: $205.83K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$823.08

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $164.77K
Potential payout: $313.84K
Potential profit: $149.08K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $9.7K

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:12 AM

PnL: $10.3K
Volume: $16.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $10.66K
Potential payout: $14.31K
Potential profit: $3.65K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $8.61K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $3.39K
Potential payout: $3.62K
Potential profit: $231.46
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $99.04

If you invest $100 $106.84 back +$6.84 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.95K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $174.44K
Potential payout: $237.33K
Potential profit: $62.89K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $7.56K

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $164.77K
Potential payout: $313.84K
Potential profit: $149.08K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $9.7K

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.49K
Volume: $366.53K
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $120.2K
Potential payout: $961.59K
Potential profit: $841.39K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $6.65K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $32.12K
Potential payout: $237.95K
Potential profit: $205.83K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$823.08

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.47K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 72%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $164.75K
Potential payout: $172.24K
Potential profit: $7.49K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $40.8K

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $134.04K
Potential payout: $182.36K
Potential profit: $48.33K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$1.92K

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.38K
Volume: $9.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $15.05K
Potential payout: $15.16K
Potential profit: $106.12
User PnL: $3.71K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $7.78K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $119.12 back +$19.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.29K
Volume: $698
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $100.55K
Potential payout: $101.51K
Potential profit: $964.38
User PnL: $27.95K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $29.65K
Potential payout: $41.18K
Potential profit: $11.53K
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $16.73K

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.16K
Volume: $6.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.4%
Current value: $41.21
Potential payout: $97.3
Potential profit: $56.09
Multiplier: 2.36x
User PnL: $32.36

If you invest $100 $236.13 back +$136.13 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Draymond Green play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $37.99
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $72.01
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $34.66

If you invest $100 $289.52 back +$189.52 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.19K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $528.07K
Potential payout: $533.94K
Potential profit: $5.87K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $22.93K

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.04K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $495.16K
Potential payout: $499.4K
Potential profit: $4.24K
User PnL: $57.93K

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $47.02K
Potential payout: $51.39K
Potential profit: $4.37K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $756.98

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.02K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $37.75K
Potential payout: $302.04K
Potential profit: $264.28K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $3.12K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.91K
Volume: $6.79K
Win rate: 42.1%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $241.67K
Potential payout: $243.74K
Potential profit: $2.07K
User PnL: $27.22K

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $127.65K
Potential payout: $131.06K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.8K

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.88K
Volume: $4.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Over position

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $73.31
Potential payout: $120.18
Potential profit: $46.87
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $33.05

If you invest $100 $163.93 back +$63.93 estimated profit if it wins

Under position

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $56.93
Potential payout: $115.12
Potential profit: $58.19
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $12.57

If you invest $100 $202.22 back +$102.22 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $164.75K
Potential payout: $172.24K
Potential profit: $7.49K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $40.8K

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $127.65K
Potential payout: $131.06K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.8K

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $120.2K
Potential payout: $961.59K
Potential profit: $841.39K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $6.65K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.92K
Potential payout: $70.77K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $60.09K
Potential payout: $68.67K
Potential profit: $8.58K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $10.53K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $47.02K
Potential payout: $51.39K
Potential profit: $4.37K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $756.98

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

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