Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $82.86K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $43.63K
Potential payout: $181.8K
Potential profit: $138.17K
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$44.38K

If you invest $100 $416.67 back +$316.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.3%
Current value: $29.48K
Potential payout: $75K
Potential profit: $45.53K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: -$8.03K

If you invest $100 $254.45 back +$154.45 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 6:10 PM

PnL: $19.83K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?

Ends Feb 13, 2022

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $764.73
Potential profit: $764.12
Multiplier: 1250.00x
User PnL: -$385.36

If you invest $100 $125K back +$124.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?

Ends Jan 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.14K
Potential profit: $16.14K
User PnL: -$4.4K

PnL: $15.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $14.65K
Volume: $211.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $271K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $18.84K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $79.41K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.71K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $266.63K
Potential payout: $285.17K
Potential profit: $18.54K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $55.04K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $72.25K
Potential payout: $74.14K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.17K

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.37K
Volume: $53.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $636.26K
Potential payout: $652.91K
Potential profit: $16.65K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $28.43K

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $356.1K
Potential payout: $380.86K
Potential profit: $24.76K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $86.84K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.84K
Volume: $22.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 60.7%
Current value: $45.53K
Potential payout: $75K
Potential profit: $29.48K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $8.03K

If you invest $100 $164.74 back +$64.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.3%
Current value: $29.48K
Potential payout: $75K
Potential profit: $45.53K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: -$8.03K

If you invest $100 $254.45 back +$154.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.54K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.32K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.29K
Volume: $6.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.7%
Current value: $36.85
Potential payout: $49.36
Potential profit: $12.51
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $20.39

If you invest $100 $133.96 back +$33.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mitchell Robinson play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $9.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.3
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $9.09

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.26K
Volume: $8.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $39.74K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: $19.74K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $22.12K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $2.87K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $545.05

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.17K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $481.01K
Potential payout: $505K
Potential profit: $23.99K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $55.22K

If you invest $100 $104.99 back +$4.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $194.9K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $5.1K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$100

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $142.01K
Potential payout: $150.27K
Potential profit: $8.26K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $23.27K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $79.48K
Potential payout: $85K
Potential profit: $5.53K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $194.9K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $5.1K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$100

If you invest $100 $102.62 back +$2.62 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $142.01K
Potential payout: $150.27K
Potential profit: $8.26K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $23.27K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $98.75K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $81.79K
Potential payout: $106.91K
Potential profit: $25.12K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $2.99K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $79.48K
Potential payout: $85K
Potential profit: $5.53K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.38K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

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