Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $113.93K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $174.3K
Potential payout: $1.06M
Potential profit: $882.08K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$73.86K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $270.99K
Potential profit: $269.23K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $135.22

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $214.57K
Potential profit: $213.18K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $107.29

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 12:45 PM

PnL: $19.83K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?

Ends Feb 13, 2022

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $764.73
Potential profit: $764.12
Multiplier: 1250.00x
User PnL: -$385.36

If you invest $100 $125K back +$124.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?

Ends Jan 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.14K
Potential profit: $16.14K
User PnL: -$4.4K

PnL: $16.81K
Volume: $17.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $299.37
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $92.41

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $464.43
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.08K
Volume: $78.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $53.31K
Potential payout: $60.93K
Potential profit: $7.62K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.05K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $30.84K
Potential payout: $30.88K
Potential profit: $46.33
User PnL: $1.71K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $10.71K
Volume: $7.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will DRX Academy Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $8.01
Potential payout: $52.68
Potential profit: $44.67
Multiplier: 6.58x
User PnL: $3.22

If you invest $100 $657.89 back +$557.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will BrokenBlade Win MSI Finals MVP

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 36.6%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $16.66
Potential profit: $10.57
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $5.82

If you invest $100 $273.6 back +$173.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.56K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 44%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $174.3K
Potential payout: $1.06M
Potential profit: $882.08K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$73.86K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550.99K
Potential profit: $550.99K
User PnL: -$52.15K

PnL: $8.19K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 82.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $421.1K
Potential payout: $450.38K
Potential profit: $29.27K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $53.97K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $379.82K
Potential payout: $410.62K
Potential profit: $30.8K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $29.1K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.39K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $93.21K
Potential payout: $93.73K
Potential profit: $515.5
User PnL: $1.21K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $52.5K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $8.2K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.22K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $252
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $868
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $5.6

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $220.15
Potential payout: $850
Potential profit: $629.85
Multiplier: 3.86x
User PnL: $50.15

If you invest $100 $386.1 back +$286.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.09K
Volume: $214.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $270.99K
Potential profit: $269.23K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $135.22

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $214.57K
Potential profit: $213.18K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $107.29

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.54K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.47K
Volume: $18.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $25.04K
Potential payout: $27.67K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $481.81

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $19.62K
Potential payout: $19.83K
Potential profit: $208.24
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $783.36

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $145.5K
Potential payout: $159.02K
Potential profit: $13.52K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $5.3K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $53.31K
Potential payout: $60.93K
Potential profit: $7.62K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.05K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $52.5K
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $8.2K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $51.91K
Potential payout: $63.7K
Potential profit: $11.79K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$4.66K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $25.04K
Potential payout: $27.67K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $481.81

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $19.62K
Potential payout: $19.83K
Potential profit: $208.24
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $783.36

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

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