Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $1.02M
- Potential payout
- $5M
- Potential profit
- $3.98M
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.48M
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $17.48K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $3.98M
- Potential payout
- $5M
- Potential profit
- $1.02M
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.48M
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $915.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.02M
- Potential profit
- $107.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$7.29K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
SecondWindCapital
0x8c80...02c3 Public
- PnL
- $4.11K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $425.61K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $24.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $58.48K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $379.82K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $30.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29.1K
Rank #2
onekey02
0xfaf9...f4c4 Public
- PnL
- $2.29K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $915.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.02M
- Potential profit
- $107.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$7.29K
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $316.78K
- Potential payout
- $333.98K
- Potential profit
- $17.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.57K
Rank #3
Aeglos
0xb665...bf8f Public
- PnL
- $1.83K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $169.28K
- Potential payout
- $183K
- Potential profit
- $13.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $16.09K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $145.41K
- Potential payout
- $166.19K
- Potential profit
- $20.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $27.45K
Rank #4
BlindGibbon
0xe8ff...c93b Public
- PnL
- $1.56K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $144.91K
- Potential payout
- $156.66K
- Potential profit
- $11.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.24K
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $106.23K
- Potential payout
- $112K
- Potential profit
- $5.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Rank #5
elmcap2
0xed10...d2e5 Public @elm_cap
- PnL
- $1.49K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $3.98M
- Potential payout
- $5M
- Potential profit
- $1.02M
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.48M
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.18M
- Potential payout
- $1.18M
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- User PnL
- $3.62K
Rank #6
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $1.48K
- Volume
- $970.42
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $299.37
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $92.41
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $452.82
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Rank #7
M888
0x4344...f90d Public
- PnL
- $1.38K
- Volume
- $518.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $159.3K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $40.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $59.3K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $40.68K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $159.32K
- Multiplier
- 4.92x
- User PnL
- -$59.32K
Rank #8
0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952
0x8b4b...541b Public
- PnL
- $1.34K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $381.73K
- Potential payout
- $385K
- Potential profit
- $3.27K
- User PnL
- $137.83
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $266.26K
- Potential payout
- $297.5K
- Potential profit
- $31.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.98K
Rank #9
DOF2
0xd2cb...b9ea Public
- PnL
- $1K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $92.5K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.5K
Rank #10
25xp
0x6855...655a Public
- PnL
- $999.99
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $39.5K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $60.5K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $6.54K
Rank #11
mildwindow27
0x9f20...12c3 Public
- PnL
- $888.11
- Volume
- $1.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will Juan Ayuso win the 2026 Tour De France?
Ends Aug 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $269.6
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- -$0.13
N
No position
Will Florian Lipowitz win the 2026 Tour De France?
Ends Aug 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $267.57
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Rank #12
Jan777
0xb8e3...aaf2 Public
- PnL
- $810.07
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $142.01K
- Potential payout
- $150.27K
- Potential profit
- $8.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $23.27K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $78.63K
- Potential payout
- $85K
- Potential profit
- $6.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.53K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $425.61K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $24.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $58.48K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $379.82K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $30.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29.1K
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $316.78K
- Potential payout
- $333.98K
- Potential profit
- $17.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.57K
No position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $265.51K
- Potential payout
- $275K
- Potential profit
- $9.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$5.91K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $145.41K
- Potential payout
- $166.19K
- Potential profit
- $20.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $27.45K
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $142.01K
- Potential payout
- $150.27K
- Potential profit
- $8.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $23.27K
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