Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $13.32K
- Potential payout
- $61.96K
- Potential profit
- $48.64K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $821.4
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $12.44K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $168.51K
- Potential payout
- $192.58K
- Potential profit
- $24.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.17K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $380.69K
- Potential payout
- $393.88K
- Potential profit
- $13.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $19.55K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
korda77
0xa328...4977 Public
- PnL
- $2.14K
- Volume
- $672.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Semora Kludy Win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(women's)
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.6%
- Current value
- $50.21
- Potential payout
- $118
- Potential profit
- $67.79
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $42.34
Yes position
Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.7%
- Current value
- $36.87
- Potential payout
- $49.36
- Potential profit
- $12.49
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $20.42
Rank #2
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $1.87K
- Volume
- $703.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $310.45
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $81.32
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $499.27
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Rank #3
SitsToPee
0x6d57...bfc5 Public
- PnL
- $1.46K
- Volume
- $17.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $5.42K
- Potential payout
- $6.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $227.35
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $3.86K
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $184.15
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $56.72
Rank #4
winforretire
0xa4c3...bbb2 Public
- PnL
- $1.18K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 52.6%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $380.69K
- Potential payout
- $393.88K
- Potential profit
- $13.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $19.55K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $168.51K
- Potential payout
- $192.58K
- Potential profit
- $24.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.17K
Rank #5
0xB9d89bef8c935082F6a86355bD9667402D92275A-1751857844680
0xb9d8...275a Public
- PnL
- $1.17K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 93.8%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $377.27K
- Potential payout
- $390.34K
- Potential profit
- $13.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $35.47K
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $36K
- Potential payout
- $36K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Rank #6
LeRoiSoleil
0x6ac0...55f3 Public
- PnL
- $1.16K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $13.32K
- Potential payout
- $61.96K
- Potential profit
- $48.64K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $821.4
No position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $11.42K
- Potential payout
- $17.98K
- Potential profit
- $6.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $883.71
Rank #7
llh
0x8349...c99d Public
- PnL
- $1.09K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $350.63K
- Potential payout
- $362.78K
- Potential profit
- $12.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $120.26K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $63.25K
- Potential payout
- $67.65K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.83K
Rank #8
0xC97b0b2A2547bB3eD57167092EF8a6e816C347E5-1770003388001
0xc97b...47e5 Public
- PnL
- $934.57
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $300.55K
- Potential payout
- $310.97K
- Potential profit
- $10.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.4K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $58.84K
- Potential payout
- $62.93K
- Potential profit
- $4.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6.52K
Rank #9
90u88
0x785d...fab9 Public
- PnL
- $718
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $231.32K
- Potential payout
- $239.33K
- Potential profit
- $8.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.78K
Rank #10
0x4A414DB40E9e3FF8515540D84600c2Df49e5f4c4-1780756760891
0x4a41...f4c4 Public
- PnL
- $717.62
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $231.19K
- Potential payout
- $239.21K
- Potential profit
- $8.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.54K
Rank #11
momom
0x3c8a...b45a Public
- PnL
- $649.12
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 97.6%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $209.13K
- Potential payout
- $216.37K
- Potential profit
- $7.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $20.33K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $140.1K
- Potential payout
- $149.84K
- Potential profit
- $9.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.8K
Rank #12
Anjun
0x4337...8882 Public @AnjunPoly
- PnL
- $580.86
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $187.08K
- Potential payout
- $193.57K
- Potential profit
- $6.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.12K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $45.57K
- Potential payout
- $48.73K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.5K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $64.75K
- Potential payout
- $70K
- Potential profit
- $5.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.95K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $45.57K
- Potential payout
- $48.73K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.5K
No position
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $42.63K
- Potential payout
- $47.87K
- Potential profit
- $5.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$2K
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $33.54K
- Potential payout
- $35.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.07K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $30.26K
- Potential payout
- $31.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $402.24
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $23.74K
- Potential payout
- $24.17K
- Potential profit
- $422.89
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $218.36
Market Context
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