Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $55.75K
- Potential payout
- $412.93K
- Potential profit
- $357.18K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$32.05K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $72.13K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $54K
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $346K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$63.36K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $58.48K
- Potential payout
- $233.93K
- Potential profit
- $175.45K
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$459.9
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
TheQuietRisk
0x0a85...fe9d Public
- PnL
- $10.43K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44%
- Open positions
- 0
Rank #2
Hakei.
0x97ea...3363 Public
- PnL
- $9.61K
- Volume
- $16.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 0
Rank #3
Bertapotamous
0x134a...9e42 Public
- PnL
- $9.11K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $174.44K
- Potential payout
- $237.33K
- Potential profit
- $62.89K
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $7.56K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $167.91K
- Potential payout
- $313.84K
- Potential profit
- $145.94K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $12.84K
Rank #4
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $8.42K
- Volume
- $68.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $23.43
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $12.38
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Rank #5
SecondWindCapital
0x8c80...02c3 Public
- PnL
- $8.11K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $407.59K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $42.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $40.46K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $371.61K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $39.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $20.89K
Rank #6
peoplearestrange
0x182b...f3d3 Public
- PnL
- $7.29K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 72%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $166.82K
- Potential payout
- $172.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $42.87K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $134.04K
- Potential payout
- $182.36K
- Potential profit
- $48.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.92K
Rank #7
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $5.82K
- Volume
- $19.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $15.14K
- Potential payout
- $15.22K
- Potential profit
- $83.71
- User PnL
- $3.73K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $7.77K
- Potential payout
- $9.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Rank #8
Corlys
0xd23f...94a1 Public @CorlysBro
- PnL
- $4.85K
- Volume
- $7.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.1%
- Current value
- $47.77
- Potential payout
- $97.3
- Potential profit
- $49.53
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $38.93
Yes position
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $38.06
- Potential payout
- $97.6
- Potential profit
- $59.54
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $32.64
Rank #9
SnowLover7
0xc8b9...b836 Public
- PnL
- $4.5K
- Volume
- $698
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $100.55K
- Potential payout
- $101.51K
- Potential profit
- $964.38
- User PnL
- $27.95K
Yes position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $29.85K
- Potential payout
- $41.18K
- Potential profit
- $11.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $16.93K
Rank #10
onepingonly
0x950e...f8e5 Public
- PnL
- $4K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $54K
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $346K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$63.36K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $2.69K
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $690
Rank #11
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e...434e Public
- PnL
- $3.41K
- Volume
- $12.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $738.89K
- Potential payout
- $762.92K
- Potential profit
- $24.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $96.35K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $72.44K
- Potential payout
- $135.41K
- Potential profit
- $62.97K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
Rank #12
LlamaLoco0000
0x93fb...3e4a Public @LlamaLoco0000
- PnL
- $3.17K
- Volume
- $16.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $254.15K
- Potential payout
- $260.27K
- Potential profit
- $6.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $58.48K
- Potential payout
- $233.93K
- Potential profit
- $175.45K
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$459.9
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $254.15K
- Potential payout
- $260.27K
- Potential profit
- $6.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $174.44K
- Potential payout
- $237.33K
- Potential profit
- $62.89K
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $7.56K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $167.91K
- Potential payout
- $313.84K
- Potential profit
- $145.94K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $12.84K
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $140.73K
- Potential payout
- $159.02K
- Potential profit
- $18.29K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $526.83
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $58.48K
- Potential payout
- $233.93K
- Potential profit
- $175.45K
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$459.9
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $55.75K
- Potential payout
- $412.93K
- Potential profit
- $357.18K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$32.05K
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