Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $139.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.11M
- Potential profit
- $973.39K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $6.89K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $78.56K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $142.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $913.77K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$105.55K
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $32.12K
- Potential payout
- $237.95K
- Potential profit
- $205.83K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$823.08
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
Bertapotamous
0x134a...9e42 Public
- PnL
- $11.27K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $179.18K
- Potential payout
- $237.33K
- Potential profit
- $58.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $12.31K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $174.18K
- Potential payout
- $313.84K
- Potential profit
- $139.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $19.11K
Rank #2
TheQuietRisk
0x0a85...fe9d Public
- PnL
- $10.42K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $142.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $913.77K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$105.55K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $68.93
- Potential payout
- $137.86K
- Potential profit
- $137.79K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.57K
Rank #3
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $9.67K
- Volume
- $85.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $24.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Rank #4
Hakei.
0x97ea...3363 Public
- PnL
- $9.32K
- Volume
- $18.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $10.1K
- Potential payout
- $15.53K
- Potential profit
- $5.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $7.13K
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $3.42K
- Potential payout
- $3.62K
- Potential profit
- $193.49
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $137.01
Rank #5
peoplearestrange
0x182b...f3d3 Public
- PnL
- $9.12K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 72%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $169.4K
- Potential payout
- $172.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $45.45K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $137.69K
- Potential payout
- $182.36K
- Potential profit
- $44.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Rank #6
ZnotluvuiSamez
0x2889...9226 Public
- PnL
- $6.62K
- Volume
- $523.86K
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $139.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.11M
- Potential profit
- $973.39K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $6.89K
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $32.12K
- Potential payout
- $237.95K
- Potential profit
- $205.83K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$823.08
Rank #7
SecondWindCapital
0x8c80...02c3 Public
- PnL
- $6.48K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $407.59K
- Potential payout
- $450.38K
- Potential profit
- $42.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $40.46K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $371.61K
- Potential payout
- $410.62K
- Potential profit
- $39.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $20.89K
Rank #8
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $6.2K
- Volume
- $21.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $15.14K
- Potential payout
- $15.22K
- Potential profit
- $83.71
- User PnL
- $3.73K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $7.77K
- Potential payout
- $9.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Rank #9
Corlys
0xd23f...94a1 Public @CorlysBro
- PnL
- $5.19K
- Volume
- $8.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.6%
- Current value
- $45.29
- Potential payout
- $97.3
- Potential profit
- $52.01
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $36.45
Yes position
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $36.6
- Potential payout
- $97.6
- Potential profit
- $61
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $31.18
Rank #10
loliti
0xe1e1...d250 Public
- PnL
- $4.28K
- Volume
- $46.79K
- Win rate
- 42.1%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $202.01K
- Potential payout
- $203.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- User PnL
- $22.75K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $129.22K
- Potential payout
- $131.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.38K
Rank #11
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e...434e Public
- PnL
- $4.27K
- Volume
- $13.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $750.33K
- Potential payout
- $762.92K
- Potential profit
- $12.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $107.79K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $75.15K
- Potential payout
- $135.41K
- Potential profit
- $60.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Rank #12
onepingonly
0x950e...f8e5 Public
- PnL
- $4K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $54K
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $346K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$63.36K
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $2.69K
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $690
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $179.18K
- Potential payout
- $237.33K
- Potential profit
- $58.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $12.31K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $174.18K
- Potential payout
- $313.84K
- Potential profit
- $139.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $19.11K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $142.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.06M
- Potential profit
- $913.77K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$105.55K
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $139.14K
- Potential payout
- $159.02K
- Potential profit
- $19.88K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $139.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.11M
- Potential profit
- $973.39K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $6.89K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $129.22K
- Potential payout
- $131.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.38K
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