Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $16.98K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $33.02K
Potential payout: $1.65M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$3.33K

If you invest $100 $5K back +$4.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $23.03K
Potential payout: $677.23K
Potential profit: $654.2K
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$6.06K

If you invest $100 $2.94K back +$2.84K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.85K
Potential payout: $300K
Potential profit: $297.15K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.06K

If you invest $100 $10.53K back +$10.43K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 3:54 AM

PnL: $4.06K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 53.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $33.02K
Potential payout: $1.65M
Potential profit: $1.62M
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$3.33K

If you invest $100 $5K back +$4.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $23.03K
Potential payout: $677.23K
Potential profit: $654.2K
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$6.06K

If you invest $100 $2.94K back +$2.84K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.31K
Volume: $489.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $8.63K
Potential payout: $9.33K
Potential profit: $699.95
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $209.72

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.9%
Current value: $7.86K
Potential payout: $9.38K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $119.26 back +$19.26 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.24K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.4%
Current value: $4.71K
Potential payout: $17.2K
Potential profit: $12.49K
Multiplier: 3.65x
User PnL: $2.84K

If you invest $100 $364.96 back +$264.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.43
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.12

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.55K
Volume: $2.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $210.67
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $181.11

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $452.82
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.87K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.25K
Volume: $520.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $64.8
Potential payout: $864
Potential profit: $799.2
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $47.86

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "Supergirl" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $53.64
Potential payout: $54.9
Potential profit: $1.26
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $42.66

If you invest $100 $102.35 back +$2.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.22K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $8.86K
Potential payout: $78.02K
Potential profit: $69.17K
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: $1.84K

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $6.92K
Potential payout: $203.57K
Potential profit: $196.65K
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$5.71K

If you invest $100 $2.94K back +$2.84K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.22K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $6.46K
Potential payout: $190K
Potential profit: $183.54K
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: $3.47K

If you invest $100 $2.94K back +$2.84K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $3.45K
Potential payout: $150K
Potential profit: $146.55K
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$252.6

If you invest $100 $4.35K back +$4.25K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.12K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $146.6K
Potential payout: $146.67K
Potential profit: $73.34
User PnL: $60.58K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.47K
Potential payout: $138.47K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.32K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.06K
Volume: $721.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $34.17
Potential payout: $37.54
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.38

If you invest $100 $109.89 back +$9.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $18.09
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $0.91
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $17.26

If you invest $100 $105.04 back +$5.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $939.56
Volume: $299.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $59.98
Potential payout: $60.07
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: -$0.03

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $59.98
Potential payout: $60.07
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: -$0.03

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $909.56
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $16.39K
Potential payout: $17.49K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.74K

If you invest $100 $106.72 back +$6.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $889.79
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $403.17K
Potential payout: $455.55K
Potential profit: $52.39K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $9.17K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $79.55K
Potential payout: $88.89K
Potential profit: $9.33K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.11K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $23.03K
Potential payout: $677.23K
Potential profit: $654.2K
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$6.06K

If you invest $100 $2.94K back +$2.84K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $16.39K
Potential payout: $17.49K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.74K

If you invest $100 $106.72 back +$6.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $8.86K
Potential payout: $78.02K
Potential profit: $69.17K
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: $1.84K

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $8.63K
Potential payout: $9.33K
Potential profit: $699.95
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $209.72

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.9%
Current value: $7.86K
Potential payout: $9.38K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $119.26 back +$19.26 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $6.89K
Potential payout: $7.76K
Potential profit: $864.81
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$196.49

If you invest $100 $112.55 back +$12.55 estimated profit if it wins

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