Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.7%
- Current value
- $20.41K
- Potential payout
- $234.91K
- Potential profit
- $214.5K
- Multiplier
- 11.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $576.83K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $114.15K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $185.85K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$35.85K
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $185.85K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $114.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $35.85K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
RWCS
0x4ab9...8ebe Public
- PnL
- $102.27K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.89K
- Potential profit
- $54.89K
- User PnL
- -$25K
Rank #2
AvrahamEisenberg - 10161
0x6c3a...c459 Public
- PnL
- $100.29K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
Ends Feb 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $574.96
- Potential profit
- $549.89
- Multiplier
- 22.94x
- User PnL
- -$174.93
No position
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $2.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.1
Rank #3
0xa8cf...031f
0xa8cf...031f Public
- PnL
- $85.55K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #4
tetrose
0x7447...a16d Public
- PnL
- $73.05K
- Volume
- $244.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Current value
- $79.02K
- Potential payout
- $86.56K
- Potential profit
- $7.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.81K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $35.04K
- Potential payout
- $35.68K
- Potential profit
- $642.26
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $16.42K
Rank #5
Poyo
0x3d8a...5724 Public
- PnL
- $50.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $83.57
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Rank #6
hopedieslast
0x5739...5f1a Public
- PnL
- $49.2K
- Volume
- $7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $55.21K
- Potential payout
- $121.34K
- Potential profit
- $66.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$22.22K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.7%
- Current value
- $41.47K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $49.27K
- Multiplier
- 2.19x
- User PnL
- $17.94K
Rank #7
yuhyuhyuhy352352
0xbd04...fbb0 Public
- PnL
- $31.4K
- Volume
- $44.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.7%
- Current value
- $28.11K
- Potential payout
- $61.51K
- Potential profit
- $33.4K
- Multiplier
- 2.19x
- User PnL
- $16.65K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.7%
- Current value
- $20.41K
- Potential payout
- $234.91K
- Potential profit
- $214.5K
- Multiplier
- 11.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Rank #8
MonsieurDimanche
0x0d18...24a6 Public
- PnL
- $29.73K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.22
- Potential profit
- $716.22
- User PnL
- -$322.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $789.45
- Potential profit
- $789.45
- User PnL
- -$370.86
Rank #9
yungstalin
0xa022...77f8 Public
- PnL
- $27.33K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $242.77K
- Potential payout
- $244.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- $57.4K
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $185.85K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $114.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $35.85K
Rank #10
0x0f35...c84a
0x0f35...c84a Public
- PnL
- $27.25K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021?
Ends Apr 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $13.97
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
Ends Mar 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $9.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.6
Rank #11
thif - 33063
0x7821...bb1a Public
- PnL
- $23.61K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?
Ends Aug 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.2
Rank #12
Logan.
0x5109...5e9c Public
- PnL
- $19.91K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.7%
- Current value
- $22.3K
- Potential payout
- $48.79K
- Potential profit
- $26.49K
- Multiplier
- 2.19x
- User PnL
- $5.4K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.7%
- Current value
- $4.88K
- Potential payout
- $56.13K
- Potential profit
- $51.25K
- Multiplier
- 11.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.31K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $55.21K
- Potential payout
- $121.34K
- Potential profit
- $66.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$22.22K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.7%
- Current value
- $41.47K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $49.27K
- Multiplier
- 2.19x
- User PnL
- $17.94K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $35.04K
- Potential payout
- $35.68K
- Potential profit
- $642.26
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $16.42K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $32.8K
- Potential payout
- $35.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.41K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.7%
- Current value
- $20.41K
- Potential payout
- $234.91K
- Potential profit
- $214.5K
- Multiplier
- 11.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $5.86K
- Potential payout
- $12.09K
- Potential profit
- $6.22K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$925.06
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes10.6% No89.4%
Market Live
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes71% No29%
Market Live
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Yes17% No83%