Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $20.67K
- Potential payout
- $234.91K
- Potential profit
- $214.24K
- Multiplier
- 11.36x
- User PnL
- -$868.95
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $576.83K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $114.15K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $185.85K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$35.85K
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $185.85K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $114.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $35.85K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
RWCS
0x4ab9...8ebe Public
- PnL
- $102.27K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.89K
- Potential profit
- $54.89K
- User PnL
- -$25K
Rank #2
AvrahamEisenberg - 10161
0x6c3a...c459 Public
- PnL
- $100.29K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
Ends Feb 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $574.96
- Potential profit
- $549.89
- Multiplier
- 22.94x
- User PnL
- -$174.93
No position
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $2.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.1
Rank #3
0xa8cf...031f
0xa8cf...031f Public
- PnL
- $85.55K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #4
tetrose
0x7447...a16d Public
- PnL
- $73.05K
- Volume
- $244.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $78.94K
- Potential payout
- $86.56K
- Potential profit
- $7.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.72K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $35.02K
- Potential payout
- $35.68K
- Potential profit
- $660.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $16.4K
Rank #5
Poyo
0x3d8a...5724 Public
- PnL
- $50.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $83.57
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Rank #6
hopedieslast
0x5739...5f1a Public
- PnL
- $49.2K
- Volume
- $7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $55.21K
- Potential payout
- $121.34K
- Potential profit
- $66.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$22.22K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.8%
- Current value
- $40.6K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $50.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.23x
- User PnL
- $17.08K
Rank #7
yuhyuhyuhy352352
0xbd04...fbb0 Public
- PnL
- $31.4K
- Volume
- $44.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.8%
- Current value
- $27.52K
- Potential payout
- $61.51K
- Potential profit
- $33.98K
- Multiplier
- 2.23x
- User PnL
- $16.06K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $20.67K
- Potential payout
- $234.91K
- Potential profit
- $214.24K
- Multiplier
- 11.36x
- User PnL
- -$868.95
Rank #8
MonsieurDimanche
0x0d18...24a6 Public
- PnL
- $29.73K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.22
- Potential profit
- $716.22
- User PnL
- -$322.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $789.45
- Potential profit
- $789.45
- User PnL
- -$370.86
Rank #9
yungstalin
0xa022...77f8 Public
- PnL
- $27.33K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $242.77K
- Potential payout
- $244.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- $57.4K
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $185.85K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $114.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $35.85K
Rank #10
0x0f35...c84a
0x0f35...c84a Public
- PnL
- $27.25K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021?
Ends Apr 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $13.97
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
Ends Mar 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $9.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.6
Rank #11
thif - 33063
0x7821...bb1a Public
- PnL
- $23.61K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?
Ends Aug 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.2
Rank #12
Logan.
0x5109...5e9c Public
- PnL
- $19.91K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.8%
- Current value
- $21.83K
- Potential payout
- $48.79K
- Potential profit
- $26.96K
- Multiplier
- 2.23x
- User PnL
- $4.94K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $4.94K
- Potential payout
- $56.13K
- Potential profit
- $51.19K
- Multiplier
- 11.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.25K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $55.21K
- Potential payout
- $121.34K
- Potential profit
- $66.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$22.22K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.8%
- Current value
- $40.6K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $50.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.23x
- User PnL
- $17.08K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $35.02K
- Potential payout
- $35.68K
- Potential profit
- $660.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $16.4K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $32.8K
- Potential payout
- $35.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.41K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $20.67K
- Potential payout
- $234.91K
- Potential profit
- $214.24K
- Multiplier
- 11.36x
- User PnL
- -$868.95
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $5.86K
- Potential payout
- $12.09K
- Potential profit
- $6.22K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$925.06
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes27.4% No72.7%
Market Live
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes31.5% No68.5%
Market Live
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes6.5% No93.6%
Market Live
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes21% No79%
Market Live
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes16.3% No83.7%