No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.8%
- Current value
- $37.01K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $53.72K
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- $13.49K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $169.06M POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $87.57K
- Potential payout
- $131.68K
- Potential profit
- $44.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $57.36K
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $26.37K
- Potential payout
- $63.54K
- Potential profit
- $37.17K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
bubbawatson
0xd7a2...ec50 Public
- PnL
- $83.92M
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #2
ASOEMFE
0x5431...47e1 Public
- PnL
- $73.62M
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #3
Anon123132132
0xdf64...09db Public
- PnL
- $5.6M
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
Rank #4
bravenewboy
0xad4a...ddb8 Public
- PnL
- $4.57M
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $415
- Potential payout
- $415
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $339.71
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $212.5
- Potential payout
- $212.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $204
Rank #5
alysson-ipsum
0x3054...9837 Public
- PnL
- $1.06M
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- $0.03
Rank #6
hopedieslast
0x5739...5f1a Public
- PnL
- $99.41K
- Volume
- $26.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $105.13K
- Potential payout
- $110.08K
- Potential profit
- $4.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $34.88K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.8%
- Current value
- $37.01K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $53.72K
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- $13.49K
Rank #7
ImJustKen
0x9d84...1344 Verified @Domahhhh
- PnL
- $78.88K
- Volume
- $263.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $87.57K
- Potential payout
- $131.68K
- Potential profit
- $44.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $57.36K
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $66.22K
- Potential payout
- $89.55K
- Potential profit
- $23.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $61.79K
Rank #8
FreeDiddy2028
0x136a...88ee Public
- PnL
- $48.26K
- Volume
- $31.43K
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 1
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $108.12K
- Potential payout
- $113.22K
- Potential profit
- $5.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $33.48K
Rank #9
tetrose
0x7447...a16d Public
- PnL
- $36.78K
- Volume
- $670.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $81.92K
- Potential payout
- $86.56K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.71K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $35.47K
- Potential payout
- $35.68K
- Potential profit
- $214.09
- User PnL
- $16.85K
Rank #10
RememberAmalek
0x6139...6b7a Public
- PnL
- $34.3K
- Volume
- $48.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $32.38K
- Potential payout
- $32.54K
- Potential profit
- $162.72
- User PnL
- $9.47K
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $26.37K
- Potential payout
- $63.54K
- Potential profit
- $37.17K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Rank #11
timmythewhale
0x6000...f302 Public
- PnL
- $33.49K
- Volume
- $19.17K
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $211.91K
- Potential payout
- $215.58K
- Potential profit
- $3.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.68K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $141K
- Potential payout
- $148.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.62K
Rank #12
whig
0x40cf...d21d Public
- PnL
- $31.1K
- Volume
- $49.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $35.12K
- Potential payout
- $52.82K
- Potential profit
- $17.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $23.17K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $19.43K
- Potential payout
- $19.71K
- Potential profit
- $275.92
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.17K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $108.12K
- Potential payout
- $113.22K
- Potential profit
- $5.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $33.48K
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $87.57K
- Potential payout
- $131.68K
- Potential profit
- $44.11K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $57.36K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $81.92K
- Potential payout
- $86.56K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $6.71K
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $66.22K
- Potential payout
- $89.55K
- Potential profit
- $23.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $61.79K
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.2%
- Current value
- $41.41K
- Potential payout
- $51.03K
- Potential profit
- $9.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $35.79K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.8%
- Current value
- $37.01K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $53.72K
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- $13.49K
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes6.6% No93.4%
Market Live
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes4.6% No95.5%
Market Live
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes12.5% No87.5%
Market Live
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes10.8% No89.3%
Market Live
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
Yes78% No22%
Market Live
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
Yes18.2% No81.8%
Market Live
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes16.1% No84%
Market Live
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?
Yes86.4% No13.6%
Market Live
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes29% No71%
Market Live
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Yes78% No22%
Market Live
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes8.8% No91.3%
Market Live
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes16% No84%