Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $31.54K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $12.88K
Potential payout: $63.47K
Potential profit: $50.59K
Multiplier: 4.93x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $492.61 back +$392.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $871.42
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $4.43K
Multiplier: 6.08x
User PnL: $682.23

If you invest $100 $607.9 back +$507.9 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.8%
Current value: $879.19
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 2.87x
User PnL: $804.86

If you invest $100 $287.44 back +$187.44 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 7:46 PM

PnL: $3.52K
Volume: $4.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $35.03K
Potential payout: $37.07K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.57K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $33.37K
Potential payout: $33.5K
Potential profit: $134
User PnL: $278.62

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.34K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $3.32K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $431.8
Potential payout: $508
Potential profit: $76.2
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $76.2

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $214.88
Potential payout: $221.75
Potential profit: $6.87
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $14.73

If you invest $100 $103.2 back +$3.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $5.94K
Potential payout: $6.79K
Potential profit: $848.68
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $237.63

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $4.89K
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $290.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $696.48

If you invest $100 $105.93 back +$5.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.17K
Volume: $227.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $12.88K
Potential payout: $63.47K
Potential profit: $50.59K
Multiplier: 4.93x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $492.61 back +$392.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $11.6K
Potential payout: $14.59K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $610.59

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.07K
Volume: $24.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $17.6K
Potential payout: $17.7K
Potential profit: $106.22
User PnL: $478.68

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $17.54K
Potential payout: $18.3K
Potential profit: $759.45
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$1.83

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.07K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $3.05K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.98K
Potential profit: $3.98K
User PnL: -$1.91K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.86K
Potential profit: $227.86K
User PnL: -$75.44K

PnL: $2.96K
Volume: $20.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.8%
Current value: $879.19
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 2.87x
User PnL: $804.86

If you invest $100 $287.44 back +$187.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $871.42
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $4.43K
Multiplier: 6.08x
User PnL: $682.23

If you invest $100 $607.9 back +$507.9 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.85K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 80.8%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $253.58
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $69.23

If you invest $100 $123.76 back +$23.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $449.45
Potential payout: $660.95
Potential profit: $211.5
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$102.03

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.83K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.74K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7.73
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$223.09

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Under position

Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$2.4K

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $17.45K
Potential payout: $18.96K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $320.07

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $12.88K
Potential payout: $63.47K
Potential profit: $50.59K
Multiplier: 4.93x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $492.61 back +$392.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $11.6K
Potential payout: $14.59K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $610.59

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $11.4K
Potential payout: $11.52K
Potential profit: $126.75
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $525.91

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $5.94K
Potential payout: $6.79K
Potential profit: $848.68
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $237.63

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $4.89K
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $290.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $696.48

If you invest $100 $105.93 back +$5.93 estimated profit if it wins

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