Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $17.66K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $145K
Potential profit: $142.61K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$972.23

If you invest $100 $6.06K back +$5.96K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $7.49K
Potential payout: $112.61K
Potential profit: $105.12K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $3.34K

If you invest $100 $1.5K back +$1.4K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $2.16K
Potential payout: $41.12K
Potential profit: $38.96K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $113.65

If you invest $100 $1.9K back +$1.8K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 5:15 AM

PnL: $2.05K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.01K
Volume: $1.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $71.53
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $56.72

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $66.61
Potential payout: $149.68
Potential profit: $83.07
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $41.66

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.86K
Volume: $1.24K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $694.74
Potential profit: $694.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.34

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Rafael Leao be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $694.74
Potential profit: $694.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.34

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.83K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.74K
Volume: $3.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $7.49K
Potential payout: $112.61K
Potential profit: $105.12K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $3.34K

If you invest $100 $1.5K back +$1.4K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $7.23K
Potential payout: $7.48K
Potential profit: $246.7
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $811.4

If you invest $100 $103.41 back +$3.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.72K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $7.1K
Potential payout: $12.8K
Potential profit: $5.69K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $734.18

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $145K
Potential profit: $142.61K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$972.23

If you invest $100 $6.06K back +$5.96K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.67K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $416.56
Potential payout: $508
Potential profit: $91.44
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $60.96

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $210.55
Potential payout: $221.75
Potential profit: $11.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $10.41

If you invest $100 $105.32 back +$5.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.65K
Volume: $11.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $11.23K
Potential payout: $14.59K
Potential profit: $3.36K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $245.89

If you invest $100 $129.87 back +$29.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $10.13K
Potential payout: $10.31K
Potential profit: $185.64
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $226.9

If you invest $100 $101.83 back +$1.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.57K
Volume: $6.56K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $14.74K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $654.24
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.69K

If you invest $100 $104.44 back +$4.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $13.44K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $8.77K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $5.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.56K
Volume: $371.42
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 85.7%
Current value: $102.83
Potential payout: $120.06
Potential profit: $17.23
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.37

If you invest $100 $116.75 back +$16.75 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $101.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $48.75
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $14.05

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.48K
Volume: $3.5K
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $35.03K
Potential payout: $37.07K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.57K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $33.32K
Potential payout: $33.5K
Potential profit: $184.25
User PnL: $228.37

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.4K
Volume: $1.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $812.95
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $487.77
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $773.54

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $812.52
Potential payout: $973.07
Potential profit: $160.56
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $812.52

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $13.44K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $8.77K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $5.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $11.23K
Potential payout: $14.59K
Potential profit: $3.36K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $245.89

If you invest $100 $129.87 back +$29.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $10.6K
Potential payout: $11.84K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.6K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $10.13K
Potential payout: $10.31K
Potential profit: $185.64
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $226.9

If you invest $100 $101.83 back +$1.83 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $9.16K
Potential payout: $58.52K
Potential profit: $49.36K
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: -$333

If you invest $100 $638.98 back +$538.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $7.49K
Potential payout: $112.61K
Potential profit: $105.12K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $3.34K

If you invest $100 $1.5K back +$1.4K estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.