Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $15.58K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $102.66
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$7.19

If you invest $100 $2.82K back +$2.72K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $363.29
Potential payout: $8.07K
Potential profit: $7.71K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.11K

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $11.35
Potential payout: $151.29
Potential profit: $139.94
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.41

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 6:26 AM

PnL: $1.83K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $4.73K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$524.51

If you invest $100 $454.55 back +$354.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $809.55
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $102.21

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.8K
Volume: $1.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $7.36
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $56.64
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $5.07

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump endorse Shas in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $7.09
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $101.92
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $2.35

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.79K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.58K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $5.34K
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $361.95
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $310.65

If you invest $100 $106.78 back +$6.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $5.33K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $167.75
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $272.25

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.54K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.49K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.44K
Volume: $1.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $11.35
Potential payout: $151.29
Potential profit: $139.94
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.41

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $10.78
Potential payout: $79.83
Potential profit: $69.05
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $3.52

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.43K
Volume: $837.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Walker Kessler play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.7%
Current value: $8.74
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.26
Multiplier: 2.29x
User PnL: $8.13

If you invest $100 $228.83 back +$128.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $8.42
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $8.13

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.36K
Volume: $22.86K
Win rate: 46.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $712.79
Potential payout: $937.88
Potential profit: $225.09
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $46.89

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $455
Potential payout: $455
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.01

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.32K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $106.73
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $9.7

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $9.06
User PnL: $9.06

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.26K
Volume: $1.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $102.66
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$7.19

If you invest $100 $2.82K back +$2.72K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $87.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $12.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.5

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.24K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.54
Potential profit: $197.54
User PnL: -$2.1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $106.73
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $9.7

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $4.73K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$524.51

If you invest $100 $454.55 back +$354.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $809.55
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $102.21

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $712.79
Potential payout: $937.88
Potential profit: $225.09
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $46.89

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $637.19
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $10.8

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $363.29
Potential payout: $8.07K
Potential profit: $7.71K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.11K

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

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