Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $17.26K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $17.5K
Potential payout: $472.98K
Potential profit: $455.48K
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $3.99K

If you invest $100 $2.7K back +$2.6K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.8K
Potential payout: $304K
Potential profit: $300.2K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $29.13K
Potential profit: $25.56K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$1.14K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 3:18 AM

PnL: $2.85K
Volume: $6.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $114.79
Potential payout: $229.58K
Potential profit: $229.47K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.08K

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $113.15
Potential payout: $226.3K
Potential profit: $226.19K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.26K

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.37K
Volume: $66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $33.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $26.7
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $31.43

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $17.38

If you invest $100 $6.06K back +$5.96K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.69K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?

Ends Dec 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $8.36
Potential payout: $8.67
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1

If you invest $100 $103.63 back +$3.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$69.95

If you invest $100 $100K back +$99.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.67K
Volume: $2.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $23.14K
Potential payout: $27.72K
Potential profit: $4.57K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.16K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $23.08K
Potential payout: $27K
Potential profit: $3.91K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $3.74K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.62K
Volume: $2.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $2.95K
Potential payout: $6.79K
Potential profit: $3.83K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.2K

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.3%
Current value: $2.81K
Potential payout: $3.46K
Potential profit: $649.04
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$2.53

If you invest $100 $123.08 back +$23.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.48K
Volume: $5.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $4.97K
Potential profit: $3.86K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $117.44

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $891.68
Potential payout: $899.32
Potential profit: $7.64
User PnL: $298.48

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.47K
Volume: $2.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $2.77
User PnL: $634.21

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-12 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.61K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $181.51
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $69.81

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.46K
Volume: $11.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $6.72K
Potential payout: $7.26K
Potential profit: $544.7
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $399.45

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $6.69K
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $330.17
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$35.78

If you invest $100 $104.93 back +$4.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.34K
Volume: $2.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $43.04
Potential payout: $43.1
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: -$0.02

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $43.04
Potential payout: $43.1
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: -$0.02

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.31K
Volume: $128.71
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $848.39
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $848.39
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $69.15

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

No position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $820.66
Potential payout: $954.25
Potential profit: $133.6
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $343.63

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $1.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $17.5K
Potential payout: $472.98K
Potential profit: $455.48K
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $3.99K

If you invest $100 $2.7K back +$2.6K estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.62K
Potential payout: $15.63K
Potential profit: $7.81
User PnL: $624.13

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.25K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.8K
Potential payout: $304K
Potential profit: $300.2K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump on $250 bill this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.63K
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $294.54
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $98.18

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $17.5K
Potential payout: $472.98K
Potential profit: $455.48K
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $3.99K

If you invest $100 $2.7K back +$2.6K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $6.72K
Potential payout: $7.26K
Potential profit: $544.7
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $399.45

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $6.69K
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $330.17
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$35.78

If you invest $100 $104.93 back +$4.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $6.51K
Potential payout: $7.24K
Potential profit: $727.49
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.5K

If you invest $100 $111.17 back +$11.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.8K
Potential payout: $304K
Potential profit: $300.2K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump on $250 bill this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.63K
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $294.54
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $98.18

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

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