Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $14.8K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $100.05
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$9.8

If you invest $100 $2.9K back +$2.8K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $363.29
Potential payout: $8.07K
Potential profit: $7.71K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.11K

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $11.61
Potential payout: $95.53
Potential profit: $83.92
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: $6.58

If you invest $100 $823.05 back +$723.05 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 5:48 AM

PnL: $1.8K
Volume: $1.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $7.36
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $56.64
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $5.07

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump endorse Shas in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $101.97
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $2.29

If you invest $100 $1.55K back +$1.45K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.54K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.53K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.53K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$158.7

Yes position

Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.5K
Potential profit: $54.5K
User PnL: -$86.5

PnL: $1.49K
Volume: $12.43K
Win rate: 47.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $712.79
Potential payout: $937.88
Potential profit: $225.09
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $46.89

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Elon Musk attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $454.77
Potential payout: $455
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $4.78

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.44K
Volume: $1.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?

Ends Jun 5, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $12.16
Potential payout: $81.07
Potential profit: $68.91
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $7.66

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 36.9%
Current value: $11.82
Potential payout: $32.03
Potential profit: $20.21
Multiplier: 2.71x
User PnL: $9.68

If you invest $100 $271 back +$171 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.43K
Volume: $837.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Walker Kessler play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.6%
Current value: $8.13
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.87
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: $7.52

If you invest $100 $246.06 back +$146.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Walker Kessler play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.8%
Current value: $7.35
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.65
Multiplier: 2.72x
User PnL: $6.74

If you invest $100 $272.11 back +$172.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.39K
Volume: $1.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $100.05
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$9.8

If you invest $100 $2.9K back +$2.8K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $87.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $12.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.5

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.34K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.33K
Volume: $77.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $951.49
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $48.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $13.5

If you invest $100 $105.1 back +$5.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $951
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $49
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.5

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.22K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $106.73
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $9.7

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $9.66
User PnL: $8.45

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.22K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $5.34K
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $361.95
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $310.65

If you invest $100 $106.78 back +$6.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $5.33K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $167.75
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $272.25

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $106.73
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $9.7

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $951.49
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $48.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $13.5

If you invest $100 $105.1 back +$5.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $951
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $49
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.5

If you invest $100 $105.15 back +$5.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $712.79
Potential payout: $937.88
Potential profit: $225.09
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $46.89

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $540.98
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$244.37

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $363.29
Potential payout: $8.07K
Potential profit: $7.71K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.11K

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

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