Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.09K
- Potential profit
- $134.09K
- User PnL
- -$46.01K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $3.81K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $290.55
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $9.6
- Potential payout
- $290.9
- Potential profit
- $281.3
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #181
chriszyy3
0x052f...53fb Public @ChrisYagao
- PnL
- $391.39
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 68%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #182
0xB9d89bef8c935082F6a86355bD9667402D92275A-1751857844680
0xb9d8...275a Public
- PnL
- $390.34
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #183
Julztavera
0x49b0...1279 Public
- PnL
- $390.3
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #184
0x66ED2351E7Be22144Df0F052652214cec377aa53-1771940134068
0x66ed...aa53 Public
- PnL
- $382.25
- Volume
- $690
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #185
ColdConviction
0x70c1...1be2 Public
- PnL
- $381.75
- Volume
- $1.72K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #186
weather.fanatic
0xec0c...8589 Public
- PnL
- $381.66
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 65°F or below on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.79
- Potential profit
- $80.79
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $577.18
- Potential profit
- $577.18
- User PnL
- -$4.53
Rank #187
asskik
0x380c...951c Public
- PnL
- $373.75
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 74%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #188
UbuntuTrading
0xc3cd...816c Public @buckyandlucky
- PnL
- $373.6
- Volume
- $4.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $9.6
- Potential payout
- $290.9
- Potential profit
- $281.3
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $290.55
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Rank #189
lodes
0x31bd...2649 Public
- PnL
- $371.95
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #190
0xAE7FcEb5828Ad56356283188B505939D057F31c9-1768585935728
0xae7f...31c9 Public
- PnL
- $370.24
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #191
rulki
0x8e88...0670 Public
- PnL
- $366.36
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #192
wan123
0xde7b...5f4b Public
- PnL
- $364.39
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.09K
- Potential profit
- $134.09K
- User PnL
- -$46.01K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.32K
- Potential profit
- $23.32K
- User PnL
- -$6.62K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 65°F or below on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.79
- Potential profit
- $80.79
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $577.18
- Potential profit
- $577.18
- User PnL
- -$4.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282.27
- Potential profit
- $282.27
- User PnL
- -$8.37
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.32K
- Potential profit
- $23.32K
- User PnL
- -$6.62K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.09K
- Potential profit
- $134.09K
- User PnL
- -$46.01K
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.5
- Potential profit
- $240.5
- User PnL
- -$18.13
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Yes24.5% No75.5%
Market Live
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes6.2% No93.9%
Market Live
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes12.5% No87.5%
Market Live
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Yes67.5% No32.5%
Market Live
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Yes2.7% No97.4%