Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $10.7K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $426.09
Potential payout: $50.13K
Potential profit: $49.7K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $34.49

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $423.13
Potential payout: $44.54K
Potential profit: $44.12K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $75.18

If you invest $100 $10.53K back +$10.43K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $467.67
Potential payout: $44.54K
Potential profit: $44.07K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $119.72

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 4:55 AM

PnL: $1.16K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.14K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $25.28
Potential payout: $51.07
Potential profit: $25.79
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $1.28

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $12.87
Potential payout: $17.87
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $2.32

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $4.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $264.44
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 8.40x
User PnL: $59.07

If you invest $100 $840.34 back +$740.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $219.66
Potential payout: $278.05
Potential profit: $58.39
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $21.17

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $3.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $2.07K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$22.77

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $5.78K
Potential profit: $5.78K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$69.39

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $223
Win rate: 64%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $458.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?

Ends Sep 8, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $12.92
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $6.08
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $3.42

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $12.88
Potential payout: $20.61
Potential profit: $7.73
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $2.58

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $1.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $14.32K
Potential profit: $13.27K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $43.92

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $479.14
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $438.71

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$990.13

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$11.56K

PnL: $985.72
Volume: $14.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $150.34
Potential payout: $183.34
Potential profit: $33
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $26.19

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JUUL relaunch Mango flavor by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $66.32
Potential payout: $117.4
Potential profit: $51.08
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$38.05

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $933.9
Volume: $1.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $467.67
Potential payout: $44.54K
Potential profit: $44.07K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $119.72

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $426.09
Potential payout: $50.13K
Potential profit: $49.7K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $34.49

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $908.72
Volume: $10.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $4.23K
Potential payout: $14.11K
Potential profit: $9.88K
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$592.49

If you invest $100 $333.33 back +$233.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $4.2K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.8K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $2.3K

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $14.32K
Potential profit: $13.27K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $43.92

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $479.14
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $438.71

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $868.46
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$829.16

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $467.67
Potential payout: $44.54K
Potential profit: $44.07K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $119.72

If you invest $100 $9.52K back +$9.42K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $426.09
Potential payout: $50.13K
Potential profit: $49.7K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $34.49

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $423.13
Potential payout: $44.54K
Potential profit: $44.12K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $75.18

If you invest $100 $10.53K back +$10.43K estimated profit if it wins

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