Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $7.49K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.36K
Potential payout: $45.92K
Potential profit: $41.56K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.61K

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.2K
Potential payout: $44.2K
Potential profit: $40K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.99

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $47.95
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$14.3

If you invest $100 $3.51K back +$3.41K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 5:07 AM

PnL: $822.08
Volume: $6.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jenno Berckmoes win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $17.5
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $7.07

If you invest $100 $333.33 back +$233.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $7.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.05

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $809.95
Volume: $9.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.36K
Potential payout: $45.92K
Potential profit: $41.56K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.61K

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $4.33K
Potential payout: $7.4K
Potential profit: $3.07K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$406.03

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $780.85
Volume: $5.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win between 65% and 70% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $537.3
Potential profit: $535.42
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$74.88

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Daniel Thomas win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.76K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$87.6

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $761.05
Volume: $1.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $360.85
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $127.12

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.1%
Current value: $2.06K
Potential payout: $9.79K
Potential profit: $7.73K
Multiplier: 4.75x
User PnL: $935.14

If you invest $100 $475.06 back +$375.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $753.69
Volume: $1.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $2.03K
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $2.64K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $602.13

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $341.02
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $17.47

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $735.32
Volume: $0
Win rate: 94%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $726.05
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $341.34
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $46.55

If you invest $100 $454.55 back +$354.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $278.33
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $3.43K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $249.33

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $707.38
Volume: $5.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $459
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $141
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $11.4

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $425
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $15

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $699.45
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $692.44
Volume: $54.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $199.6
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $35.6

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $88.87
Potential payout: $112.49
Potential profit: $23.62
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $16.87

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $682.76
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $674.37
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$1.65K

Under position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$100

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $360.85
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $127.12

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.1%
Current value: $2.06K
Potential payout: $9.79K
Potential profit: $7.73K
Multiplier: 4.75x
User PnL: $935.14

If you invest $100 $475.06 back +$375.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $2.03K
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $2.64K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $602.13

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $341.02
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $17.47

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $12.92K
Potential profit: $10.91K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$1.2K

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $3.11K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $132.82

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

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