Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $12.07K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.03K
Potential payout: $155.41K
Potential profit: $152.38K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $462.33

If you invest $100 $5.13K back +$5.03K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $48.61K
Potential profit: $45.03K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $3.19K

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $156
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.84K
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$54.52

If you invest $100 $2.56K back +$2.46K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 6:02 AM

PnL: $1.3K
Volume: $7.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $8.02K
Potential profit: $8.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$127.4

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $8.02K
Potential profit: $8.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$127.4

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.29K
Volume: $1.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $189.01
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: -$32.99

If you invest $100 $1.06K back +$958.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $128.78
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$29.29

If you invest $100 $2.27K back +$2.17K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.25K
Volume: $6.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $48.61K
Potential profit: $45.03K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $3.19K

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.03K
Potential payout: $155.41K
Potential profit: $152.38K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $462.33

If you invest $100 $5.13K back +$5.03K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.21K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.21K
Volume: $5.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $616.39
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $514.6
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $583.13

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $602.48
Potential payout: $712.99
Potential profit: $110.51
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $575.06

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $36.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $9.05K
Potential payout: $11.75K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$454.72

If you invest $100 $129.87 back +$29.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $8.73K
Potential payout: $10.71K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$462.09

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.18K
Volume: $11.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $174.23
Potential payout: $196.87
Potential profit: $22.64
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $44.3

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $168.25
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 8.20x
User PnL: $30.37

If you invest $100 $819.67 back +$719.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.15K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $25.28
Potential payout: $51.07
Potential profit: $25.79
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $1.28

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $13.05
Potential payout: $17.87
Potential profit: $4.82
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $2.5

If you invest $100 $136.99 back +$36.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.15K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.14K
Volume: $55.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $49.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $233.74

If you invest $100 $103.41 back +$3.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $32.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $15.85

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $3.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gen.G Global Academy Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$2.55

If you invest $100 $2.5K back +$2.4K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mark Baisley win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.58

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $48.61K
Potential profit: $45.03K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $3.19K

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.03K
Potential payout: $155.41K
Potential profit: $152.38K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $462.33

If you invest $100 $5.13K back +$5.03K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $3K
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $351.65
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $150.71

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $49.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $233.74

If you invest $100 $103.41 back +$3.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $32.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $15.85

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $769.86
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $27.83

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

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