Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $249
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.75K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$941
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $21.09K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $9.37K
- Potential payout
- $14.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.12K
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $790.31
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $946.63
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $118.67
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #25
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $2.32K
- Volume
- $62.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $9.71K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $95.01
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $9.37K
- Potential payout
- $14.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.12K
Rank #26
mrworldwide
0x98d0...f14a Public @MrWorldwidePI
- PnL
- $2.31K
- Volume
- $7.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #27
oliman2
0xc684...2228 Public
- PnL
- $2.25K
- Volume
- $16.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $867.01
- Potential payout
- $874.88
- Potential profit
- $7.87
- User PnL
- $295.27
No position
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $851.76
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $254.42
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $189.79
Rank #28
ranger44
0x3355...a126 Public
- PnL
- $2.21K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #29
Poorcat
0xd51a...17c8 Public
- PnL
- $2.17K
- Volume
- $459.43K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #30
chungguskhan
0x7744...999e Public @tenad0me
- PnL
- $2.08K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #31
Bertapotamous
0x134a...9e42 Public
- PnL
- $2.06K
- Volume
- $12.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.14K
- Potential profit
- $12.14K
- User PnL
- -$2.79K
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.68K
- Potential profit
- $308.68K
- User PnL
- -$175.95K
Rank #32
title1
0xbe74...a70e Public @Roundfaced8
- PnL
- $2.06K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $19.89
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $19.81
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $0.19
Rank #33
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $1.96K
- Volume
- $23.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $867.61
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $329.1
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $824.88
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $866.91
- Potential payout
- $934.67
- Potential profit
- $67.76
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $836.76
Rank #34
GrokEnjoyer
0x92e5...efee Public
- PnL
- $1.68K
- Volume
- $3.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $219.94
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $422.37
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $20.55
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $279.41
Rank #35
froguser
0x0894...d819 Public
- PnL
- $1.67K
- Volume
- $1.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Rank #36
0x93a9...0b88
0x93a9...0b88 Public
- PnL
- $1.65K
- Volume
- $15.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Current value
- $292.89
- Potential payout
- $378.42
- Potential profit
- $85.52
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$30.93
N
No position
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $289.22
- Potential payout
- $312.33
- Potential profit
- $23.11
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $32.19
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $219.94
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $422.37
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $20.55
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $279.41
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $877.79
- Potential payout
- $888
- Potential profit
- $10.21
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $100.79
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $867.61
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $329.1
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $824.88
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $866.91
- Potential payout
- $934.67
- Potential profit
- $67.76
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $836.76
No position
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $851.76
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $254.42
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $189.79
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