Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $30.84
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$721.46
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $29.17K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $18.55
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $681.45
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $6.88
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $28.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $971.5
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $20.69
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #25
ranger44
0x3355...a126 Public
- PnL
- $3.42K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #26
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $3.4K
- Volume
- $88.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $812.95
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $487.77
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $773.54
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $783.32
- Potential payout
- $973.07
- Potential profit
- $189.75
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $783.32
Rank #27
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A
0xa3a4...5106 Public
- PnL
- $3.11K
- Volume
- $102.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $30.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $29.1
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $29.03
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $30.84
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$721.46
Rank #28
0x0742...1b48
0x0742...1b48 Public
- PnL
- $3.1K
- Volume
- $30K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #29
nextdayoff
0xc772...45f5 Public
- PnL
- $3.03K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #30
Jan777
0xb8e3...aaf2 Public
- PnL
- $2.88K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #31
loliti
0xe1e1...d250 Public
- PnL
- $2.79K
- Volume
- $153.85
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #32
pugdev
0xb8a7...7674 Public
- PnL
- $2.58K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 66%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #33
Valen9
0x162f...798d Public
- PnL
- $2.52K
- Volume
- $4.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $22.38K
- Potential profit
- $19.81K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$368.63
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $28.61
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $14.87
Rank #34
aenews2
0x44c1...ebc1 Public @aenews
- PnL
- $2.35K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $188.05
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$60.07
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $354.55
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $726.01
Rank #35
mrwhite700
0xbc80...3d59 Public
- PnL
- $2.19K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #36
NyetRisk
0xc03c...50af Public
- PnL
- $2.19K
- Volume
- $62.16K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Current value
- $21.76
- Potential payout
- $57.87
- Potential profit
- $36.11
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $19.69
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $20.68
- Potential payout
- $133
- Potential profit
- $112.32
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $19.64
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $354.55
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $726.01
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $15.1
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $6.39K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$750.4
Yes position
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $812.95
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $487.77
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $773.54
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $783.32
- Potential payout
- $973.07
- Potential profit
- $189.75
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $783.32
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $748.6
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $269.9
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $544.9
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Yes64% No36%
Market Live
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Yes37% No63%
Market Live
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Yes95% No5%