Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $27.87K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $317.27
Potential payout: $8.96K
Potential profit: $8.65K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $58.75

If you invest $100 $2.82K back +$2.72K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $53.82
Potential payout: $377.95
Potential profit: $324.13
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: $4.31

If you invest $100 $702.25 back +$602.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $326.46
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $23.45

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 9:23 PM

PnL: $3.03K
Volume: $26.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $199.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $25.5

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $198.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: $8.8

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.94K
Volume: $2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.93K
Volume: $40K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $4.86K
Potential profit: $2.95K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $85

If you invest $100 $254.13 back +$154.13 estimated profit if it wins

No position

World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $133.35
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $20.05

If you invest $100 $108.28 back +$8.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.89K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Menery position

Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $653
Potential profit: $653
User PnL: -$182.84

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.18K
Potential profit: $9.18K
User PnL: -$3.14K

PnL: $2.85K
Volume: $68.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the AZ-09 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $843.12
Potential payout: $901.73
Potential profit: $58.61
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $15.96

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-15 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $842.62
Potential payout: $997.18
Potential profit: $154.56
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.91

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.73K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.68K
Volume: $53.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $982.19
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $451.67
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $811.03

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $938.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $61.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $17.1

If you invest $100 $106.55 back +$6.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.68K
Volume: $56.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $5.26K
User PnL: -$5.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.04K
Potential profit: $46.04K
User PnL: -$46.04

PnL: $2.59K
Volume: $243.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $53.82
Potential payout: $377.95
Potential profit: $324.13
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: $4.31

If you invest $100 $702.25 back +$602.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $53.24
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $34.76
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $4.84

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.55K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 56%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.96
Potential profit: $599.96
User PnL: -$155.99

PnL: $2.55K
Volume: $55.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $333.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $666.5
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $149.5

If you invest $100 $299.85 back +$199.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $326.46
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $23.45

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.51K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 4.5%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $982.19
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $451.67
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $811.03

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $938.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $61.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $17.1

If you invest $100 $106.55 back +$6.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $932.79
Potential payout: $953.29
Potential profit: $20.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $22.47

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the AZ-09 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $843.12
Potential payout: $901.73
Potential profit: $58.61
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $15.96

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-15 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $842.62
Potential payout: $997.18
Potential profit: $154.56
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.91

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $841.75
Potential payout: $867.78
Potential profit: $26.03
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $19.86

If you invest $100 $103.09 back +$3.09 estimated profit if it wins

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