Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $476.55
- Potential profit
- $474.64
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.42
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $9.65K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 25, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $69.12
- Potential profit
- $67.29
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $19.89
- Potential payout
- $306
- Potential profit
- $286.11
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$171.81
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #73
0x485a2E9AD89D9109BB4d37b925bA60f6350421cB-1768423550172
0x485a...21cb Public
- PnL
- $1.01K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #74
Anon321321
0xe347...b438 Public
- PnL
- $1.01K
- Volume
- $1.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $3.44
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $476.55
- Potential profit
- $474.64
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.42
Rank #75
makinta
0xc15b...38af Public
- PnL
- $1.01K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #76
eightpenguins
0x3c59...1766 Public
- PnL
- $1K
- Volume
- $2.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$288
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$109
Rank #77
Chp420
0x6fe4...5781 Public
- PnL
- $1K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #78
0x7278b6C6527Ad471c98aEbf5cc39f9953B05A10f-1770901789968
0x7278...a10f Public
- PnL
- $987.19
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #79
GCNO1
0x5011...220e Public
- PnL
- $976.53
- Volume
- $51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will USA be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $1.93
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $17.46
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Rank #80
orangeapplejuice
0x45b6...676f Public
- PnL
- $901.62
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #81
hideki.hirata
0x267e...b526 Public
- PnL
- $881.65
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #82
BlueOrchid
0x11e5...ee4d Public
- PnL
- $870.65
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #83
ocean322
0xdf17...97d1 Public
- PnL
- $868.22
- Volume
- $1.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $19.95
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $19.89
- Potential payout
- $306
- Potential profit
- $286.11
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$171.81
Rank #84
Jep-G
0x993c...6787 Public
- PnL
- $846.94
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $476.55
- Potential profit
- $474.64
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.42
Yes position
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 25, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $69.12
- Potential profit
- $67.29
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
N
No position
Will USA be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $1.93
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $17.46
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
No position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$288
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes52% No48%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes75% No25%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Tennis Live
Targu Mures: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald
Completed MatchTargu Mures: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald Jul 2, 2026
Completed Match Targu Mures: Completed Match: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald
Yes50% No50%
Targu Mures: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald
Yes84.7% No15.4%
Event Live
Valorant: DRX Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
Match WinnerMap 1 Winner Jun 25, 2026
Match Winner Valorant: DRX Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
Yes79% No21%
Map 1 Winner Valorant: DRX Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Map 1 Winner
Yes88% No12%
Event Tennis Live
Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos
Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos Set 1 O/U 8.5Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos Jun 30, 2026
Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos Set 1 O/U 8.5 Almeida vs. Santos: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Yes50% No50%
Piracicaba: Gustavo Almeida vs Paulo Dos Santos
Yes66% No34%
Event Live
Valorant: Insomnia vs AGELITE (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage
Map 1 WinnerMap 2 Winner Jun 25, 2026
Map 1 Winner Valorant: Insomnia vs AGELITE - Map 1 Winner
Yes50.5% No49.5%
Map 2 Winner Valorant: Insomnia vs AGELITE - Map 2 Winner
Yes57% No43%
Event Tennis Live
Lexus Eastbourne Open (Doubles): Haverlag/Lumsden vs Chong/Tjen
Lexus Eastbourne Open (Doubles): Haverlag/Lumsden vs Chong/Tjen Set 1 O/U 8.5Lexus Eastbourne Open (Doubles): Haverlag/Lumsden vs Chong/Tjen Set 1 O/U 9.5 Jul 2, 2026
Lexus Eastbourne Open (Doubles): Haverlag/Lumsden vs Chong/Tjen Set 1 O/U 8.5 Haverlag/Lumsden vs. Chong/Tjen: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Yes50.5% No49.5%
Lexus Eastbourne Open (Doubles): Haverlag/Lumsden vs Chong/Tjen Set 1 O/U 9.5 Haverlag/Lumsden vs. Chong/Tjen: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Rainbow Six Siege: PSYKN Company vs Daystar (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Group Stage
Match Winner Jun 25, 2026
Match Winner Rainbow Six Siege: PSYKN Company vs Daystar (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Group Stage
Yes22.5% No77.5%
Event Live
Honor of Kings: SOLYX ESPORTS vs BanMei Gaming (BO5) - Arena of Valor Premier League Swiss Stage
Game 1 WinnerGame 2 Winner Jun 25, 2026
Game 1 Winner Honor of Kings: SOLYX ESPORTS vs BanMei Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Yes50% No50%
Game 2 Winner Honor of Kings: SOLYX ESPORTS vs BanMei Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Yes50.5% No49.5%
Event Live
Mallorca Championships (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Galloway/Kirkov
Mallorca Championships (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Galloway/Kirkov Total Sets: O/U 2.5Mallorca Championships (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Galloway/Kirkov Jul 2, 2026
Mallorca Championships (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Galloway/Kirkov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 Pavlasek/Rikl vs. Galloway/Kirkov: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Yes50.5% No50%
Mallorca Championships (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Galloway/Kirkov
Yes71.5% No28.5%
Event Tennis Live
Mallorca Championships (Doubles): Balaji/Demoliner vs Goransson/King
Mallorca Championships (Doubles): Balaji/Demoliner vs Goransson/King Set 1 O/U 8.5Mallorca Championships (Doubles): Balaji/Demoliner vs Goransson/King Set 2 O/U 9.5 Jul 1, 2026
Mallorca Championships (Doubles): Balaji/Demoliner vs Goransson/King Set 1 O/U 8.5 Balaji/Demoliner vs. Goransson/King: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Yes50% No50%
Mallorca Championships (Doubles): Balaji/Demoliner vs Goransson/King Set 2 O/U 9.5 Balaji/Demoliner vs. Goransson/King: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
Yes50% No50%