Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.6K
- Potential profit
- $5.6K
- User PnL
- -$207.99
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $134.09K POLITICS · WEEK · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$160
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #97
de5nuts
0x80a0...5708 Public
- PnL
- $14.61K
- Volume
- $94.82K
- Win rate
- 14%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #98
okcoolstorybro
0x122c...821f Public
- PnL
- $14.24K
- Volume
- $584.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #99
WW3-Monitor
0xe234...304a Public
- PnL
- $13.74K
- Volume
- $4.67M
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #100
degensruletheworld
0x4da7...355e Public
- PnL
- $13.74K
- Volume
- $495.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #101
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $13.42K
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $677.55
- Potential payout
- $740.49
- Potential profit
- $62.94
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $119.39
Y
Yes position
Will Germany be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $676.21
- Potential payout
- $700.01
- Potential profit
- $23.8
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $559.54
Rank #102
MEPP
0x6d9f...9790 Public @MEPPonPM
- PnL
- $13.1K
- Volume
- $790.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #103
tugator
0x0c26...d223 Public
- PnL
- $12.96K
- Volume
- $141.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #104
Brokie
0x1e1f...c855 Public @BrokieTrades
- PnL
- $12.83K
- Volume
- $686.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.6K
- Potential profit
- $5.6K
- User PnL
- -$207.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$160
Rank #105
Eire
0xda66...3f38 Public
- PnL
- $12.77K
- Volume
- $251.42K
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #106
mm4ker
0x8c57...f939 Public
- PnL
- $12.7K
- Volume
- $218.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #107
tsekinming01
0x69aa...8847 Public
- PnL
- $12.62K
- Volume
- $908.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #108
fsssssss
0x0a6e...56d7 Public
- PnL
- $12.59K
- Volume
- $111.57K
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.6K
- Potential profit
- $5.6K
- User PnL
- -$207.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$95
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxO/U 8.5 Jun 18, 2026
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Yes53% No47%
O/U 8.5 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
Yes79.5% No20.5%
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event MLB Live
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox - First 5 Innings Winner
Atlanta BravesDraw Jun 11, 2026
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves winning after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Draw Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: Tied after 5 innings?
Yes50% No50%
Event Live
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs G2 (+6.5) Jun 19, 2026
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
Yes0.1% No100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs G2 (+6.5)
Yes0.1% No100%
Event Live
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs EDward Gaming (+3.5) Jun 19, 2026
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5
Yes50% No50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs EDward Gaming (+3.5)
Yes25% No75%
Event Live
Honor of Kings: Bacon Time vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Arena of Valor Premier League Swiss Stage
Match WinnerO/U 2.5 Games Jun 19, 2026
Match Winner Honor of Kings: Bacon Time vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Arena of Valor Premier League Swiss Stage
Yes50% No50%
O/U 2.5 Games Games Total: O/U 2.5
Yes50% No50%
Event Tennis Live
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola BartunkovaGrass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 23.5 Jun 26, 2026
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova
Yes78.5% No21.5%
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 23.5 Sabalenka vs. Bartunkova: Match O/U 23.5
Yes99.5% No0.6%
Event Live
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco CerundoloHSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner Jun 26, 2026
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo
Yes9.5% No90.5%
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Fery vs Cerundolo
Yes0.1% No100%
Event Live
Nottingham Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Emma Navarro
Completed MatchNottingham Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Emma Navarro Set 1 O/U 8.5 Jun 26, 2026
Completed Match Nottingham Open: Completed Match: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Emma Navarro
Yes50% No50%
Nottingham Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Emma Navarro Set 1 O/U 8.5 Maneiro vs. Navarro: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Yes100% No0.1%
Event Live
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Match WinnerMap Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) Jun 19, 2026
Match Winner Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Yes36.5% No63.5%
Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)
Yes14.5% No85.5%
Event Tennis Live
Figueira Da Foz (Doubles): Brooks/Smith vs Micic/Mladenovic
Figueira Da Foz (Doubles): Brooks/Smith vs Micic/Mladenovic Set 2 O/U 8.5Figueira Da Foz (Doubles): Brooks/Smith vs Micic/Mladenovic Set Handicap +/-1.5 Jun 25, 2026
Figueira Da Foz (Doubles): Brooks/Smith vs Micic/Mladenovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 Brooks/Smith vs. Micic/Mladenovic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
Yes100% No0.1%
Figueira Da Foz (Doubles): Brooks/Smith vs Micic/Mladenovic Set Handicap +/-1.5 Set Handicap: Brooks/Smith (-1.5) vs Micic/Mladenovic (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Event Tennis Live
Nottingham Open (Doubles): Kozyreva/Shymanovich vs Bouzkova/Panova
Nottingham Open (Doubles): Kozyreva/Shymanovich vs Bouzkova/PanovaCompleted Match Jun 25, 2026
Nottingham Open (Doubles): Kozyreva/Shymanovich vs Bouzkova/Panova
Yes51.5% No48.5%
Completed Match Nottingham Open: Completed Match: Kozyreva/Shymanovich vs Bouzkova/Panova
Yes50% No50%