Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $27.39K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $6.86K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $49.64K
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$21.39K

If you invest $100 $823.05 back +$723.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $17.06K
Potential profit: $15.12K
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$538.97

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.63K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.97K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$390.2

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 4:19 PM

PnL: $7.52K
Volume: $594
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $10.41K
Potential payout: $12.25K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $5.29K

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $108.75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $685.86

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.3K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $6.39K
Potential profit: $958.97
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.9K

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $4.56K
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $421.18
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.79K

If you invest $100 $109.23 back +$9.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.19K
Volume: $46.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $29.97K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: $49.8

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $23.53K
Potential payout: $23.54K
Potential profit: $11.77
User PnL: $37.57

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.89K
Volume: $3.25K
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $487.58
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.56K

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $150
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $910.47

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.65K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $435.22
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $654.24

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $4.22
User PnL: $132.43

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.48K
Volume: $11.97K
Win rate: 35.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $732.75
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $458.71
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$111.48

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $556.03
Potential payout: $4.12K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$656.7

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.41K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $7.44K
Potential payout: $7.45K
Potential profit: $14.9
User PnL: $476.97

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $6.88K
Potential payout: $8.34K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $41.68

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.23K
Volume: $10.74K
Win rate: 58.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $3.99K
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $703.85
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.2K

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $17.06K
Potential profit: $15.12K
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$538.97

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $1.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.93K
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.94K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $3.79K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.93K
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$1.25K

If you invest $100 $256.41 back +$156.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $698.49
Volume: $0
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6.72K
Potential payout: $6.73K
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: $548.34

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $129
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $827.75

If you invest $100 $106.67 back +$6.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $579.36
Volume: $249.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.9%
Current value: $49.64K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $6.86K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $21.39K

If you invest $100 $113.83 back +$13.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $6.86K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $49.64K
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$21.39K

If you invest $100 $823.05 back +$723.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $541.99
Volume: $5.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $3.67K
Potential payout: $3.77K
Potential profit: $94.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $282.22

If you invest $100 $102.56 back +$2.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $2.18K
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $33.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $981.98

If you invest $100 $101.52 back +$1.52 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $6.86K
Potential payout: $56.5K
Potential profit: $49.64K
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$21.39K

If you invest $100 $823.05 back +$723.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.63K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.97K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$390.2

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $4.56K
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $421.18
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.79K

If you invest $100 $109.23 back +$9.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.93K
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.94K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $3.79K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.93K
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$1.25K

If you invest $100 $256.41 back +$156.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $3.67K
Potential payout: $3.77K
Potential profit: $94.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $282.22

If you invest $100 $102.56 back +$2.56 estimated profit if it wins

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