Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $4.03K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $35.36K
Potential payout: $40.41K
Potential profit: $5.05K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $338.31

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $3.46K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $13.44

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $10.98K
Potential payout: $13.1K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$312.51

If you invest $100 $119.33 back +$19.33 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 5:05 PM

PnL: $673.23
Volume: $21.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $19.26
User PnL: $1.9K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $4.77
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $578.99
Volume: $12.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $3.46K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $13.44

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $288.68
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $33.56

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $574.72
Volume: $4.16K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $702.51
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $419.75

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $530.2
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $495.8

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $567.23
Volume: $2.99K
Win rate: 72%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $35.36K
Potential payout: $40.41K
Potential profit: $5.05K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $338.31

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $10.98K
Potential payout: $13.1K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$312.51

If you invest $100 $119.33 back +$19.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $307.26
Volume: $7.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Norway vs. France: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $75.98
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9.78

If you invest $100 $103.9 back +$3.9 estimated profit if it wins

Under position

Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $602.13
Potential payout: $604.55
Potential profit: $2.42
User PnL: $9.88

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $297.5
Volume: $320.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $9.88K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$810.97

If you invest $100 $113.19 back +$13.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $217.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$82.5

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $283.74
Volume: $8.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $3.87K
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $33.15
User PnL: $110.7

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $247.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$88.95

If you invest $100 $108.99 back +$8.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $274.38
Volume: $10.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $153.49
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$9.61

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $87.35
Potential payout: $576.59
Potential profit: $489.24
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: $8.18

If you invest $100 $660.07 back +$560.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $251.67
Volume: $8.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $658.49
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$162.26

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $111.83
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $192.74

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $220.72
Volume: $1.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $4.67K
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $607.2
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $799.58

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.26K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $157.36
Volume: $516.84
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $903.37
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $396.63
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $606.81

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $663.62
Potential payout: $902.89
Potential profit: $239.27
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $249.73

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $144.33
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $9.72K
Potential payout: $10.46K
Potential profit: $742.66
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $94.14

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.2%
Current value: $5.79K
Potential payout: $6.56K
Potential profit: $774.14
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$341.97

If you invest $100 $113.38 back +$13.38 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $9.72K
Potential payout: $10.46K
Potential profit: $742.66
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $94.14

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $4.67K
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $607.2
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $799.58

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.26K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $3.46K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $13.44

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $247.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$88.95

If you invest $100 $108.99 back +$8.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $570.78
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $437.19

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

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