Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $14.78K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $14.21K
Potential profit: $11.46K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $2.51K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $36.72K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $5.73K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.41K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 1:12 PM

PnL: $2.4K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 78.8%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.17K
Volume: $3.55K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $5.25K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $2.09K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $1.07K

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $4.84K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $634.48
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $597.5

If you invest $100 $113.12 back +$13.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.15K
Volume: $65.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $14.21K
Potential profit: $11.46K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $2.51K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $3.84K
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: -$988.38

If you invest $100 $306.28 back +$206.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.59K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $12.63K
Potential payout: $16.73K
Potential profit: $4.1K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.25K
Volume: $4.04K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $101.54
Potential payout: $507.7
Potential profit: $406.16
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $61.54

If you invest $100 $500 back +$400 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $51.01
Potential payout: $387.93
Potential profit: $336.92
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $1.01

If you invest $100 $760.46 back +$660.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.14K
Volume: $40
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $9.21K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $3.67K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $3K

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $4K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $494.52
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $246.61

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.09K
Volume: $2.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $2.66K
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $189.54
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $60.66

If you invest $100 $107.12 back +$7.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 'Kingdom Come: Deliverance II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$60

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $35K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $656.39
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $437.59
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $99.44

If you invest $100 $166.67 back +$66.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $472.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $227.5
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $122.5

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.05K
Volume: $35.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $343.72
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $48.06

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $499.27
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.82K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $870.71
Volume: $1.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $4.96K
Potential payout: $5.12K
Potential profit: $156.12
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $390.26

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $67.51
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $157.55

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $802.36
Volume: $13.47K
Win rate: 88%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $36.72K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $5.73K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.41K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $27.39K
Potential payout: $29.93K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.45K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $658.58
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $5.64K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $71.43
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $642.85

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $165.63

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $9.29K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $705
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $795

If you invest $100 $107.58 back +$7.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $9.21K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $3.67K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $3K

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $5.64K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $71.43
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $642.85

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $4.96K
Potential payout: $5.12K
Potential profit: $156.12
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $390.26

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $4.84K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $634.48
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $597.5

If you invest $100 $113.12 back +$13.12 estimated profit if it wins

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