Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.42K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $32.43K
Potential profit: $30.57K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $1.32K

If you invest $100 $1.74K back +$1.64K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $2.97K
Potential payout: $26.63K
Potential profit: $23.66K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $2.53K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $52.23
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$394.77

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 8:36 PM

PnL: $763.41
Volume: $3.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $225.26
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $763.15

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $81.81
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $144.04

If you invest $100 $103.52 back +$3.52 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $726.4
Volume: $8.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $41.65
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $128.35
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $35.58

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $5.94
Potential payout: $46.03
Potential profit: $40.09
Multiplier: 7.75x
User PnL: -$0.64

If you invest $100 $775.19 back +$675.19 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $690.87
Volume: $0
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.4K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.15K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $955.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $344.5
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $658.94

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $591.05
Volume: $15.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $15.98
User PnL: $2K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $3.81
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $536.86
Volume: $23.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $4.1K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $595

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $2.97K
Potential payout: $26.63K
Potential profit: $23.66K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $2.53K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $505.11
Volume: $300
Win rate: 82.8%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $736.46
Potential payout: $796.17
Potential profit: $59.71
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $527.61

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $17.72
Potential profit: $16.92
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$9.2

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $458.59
Volume: $0
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $27.89K
Potential payout: $27.93K
Potential profit: $41.9
User PnL: $12.33K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $21.39K
Potential payout: $21.44K
Potential profit: $42.88
User PnL: $9.33K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $415.34
Volume: $9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $11.73K
Potential payout: $11.75K
Potential profit: $17.63
User PnL: $6.84K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $8.01K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $990
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $270

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $367.15
Volume: $9.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $26.95
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $83.05
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $23.02

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will another outcome occur in the NY-10 Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $16.36
Potential payout: $594.81
Potential profit: $578.45
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$82.78

If you invest $100 $3.64K back +$3.54K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $366.3
Volume: $869.68
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Belal Muhammad in his next UFC bout?

Ends Jun 2, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $13.8
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $16.2
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $11.93

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Carlos Prates in his next UFC bout?

Ends Jun 2, 2027

Implied probability: 45.8%
Current value: $13.74
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $16.26
Multiplier: 2.18x
User PnL: $11.87

If you invest $100 $218.34 back +$118.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $366.02
Volume: $0
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $848.5
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $658.68

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $460.51
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $565.48

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $346.89
Volume: $11.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.01
Potential payout: $22.02K
Potential profit: $22.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$438.32

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10.87
Potential payout: $21.75K
Potential profit: $21.74K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$432.95

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $2.97K
Potential payout: $26.63K
Potential profit: $23.66K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $2.53K

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $225.26
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $763.15

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $81.81
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $144.04

If you invest $100 $103.52 back +$3.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $32.43K
Potential profit: $30.57K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $1.32K

If you invest $100 $1.74K back +$1.64K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $354.81
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $36.97

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $460.51
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $565.48

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

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