Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.79K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $138.38K
Potential profit: $136.51K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$438.1

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $17.06K
Potential profit: $15.26K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$675.44

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $6.17K
Potential profit: $4.85K
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $1.28K

If you invest $100 $466.2 back +$366.2 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 11:07 AM

PnL: $780.79
Volume: $0
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $4.66K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.42K

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $929.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $370.5
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $632.94

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $672.82
Volume: $4.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $5.71K
Potential payout: $11.78K
Potential profit: $6.06K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $15.7

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $3.96K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $539.47
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $201.66

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $415.93
Volume: $0
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $2.63K
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $698.77
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $808.41

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $495.27
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $530.73

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $318.65
Volume: $111.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $405.3
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $120.28

If you invest $100 $114.16 back +$14.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $74.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $161.99

If you invest $100 $103.04 back +$3.04 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $284.48
Volume: $12.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $138.38K
Potential profit: $136.51K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$438.1

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.47K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.47K

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $282.41
Volume: $580.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $15.15K
Potential payout: $15.22K
Potential profit: $68.5
User PnL: $3.75K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $7.78K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $119.12 back +$19.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $266.48
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.73K
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $554.4
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $852.38

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $4.31K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $265.67
Volume: $9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $11.7K
Potential payout: $11.75K
Potential profit: $52.88
User PnL: $6.81K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $7.92K
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $180

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $258.29
Volume: $300
Win rate: 82.8%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $449.76
Potential payout: $796.17
Potential profit: $346.41
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $240.91

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $17.72
Potential profit: $15.95
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$8.23

If you invest $100 $1K back +$900 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $243.34
Volume: $6.45
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $17.06K
Potential profit: $15.26K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$675.44

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $404.11
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $923.68

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $210.04
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $291.31
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $405.68

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $746.38
Potential payout: $4.93K
Potential profit: $4.18K
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: $265.21

If you invest $100 $660.07 back +$560.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $191.98
Volume: $0
Win rate: 35.7%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $1.21K
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $322.53
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $605.7

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 49.9%
Current value: $3.16
Potential payout: $6.34
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 2.01x
User PnL: $0.53

If you invest $100 $200.6 back +$100.6 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.73K
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $554.4
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $852.38

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $4.66K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.42K

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $4.31K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $3.38K
Potential payout: $3.62K
Potential profit: $233.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$15.28

If you invest $100 $106.89 back +$6.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $405.3
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $120.28

If you invest $100 $114.16 back +$14.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $74.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $161.99

If you invest $100 $103.04 back +$3.04 estimated profit if it wins

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