Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.01K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $98.75K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $50

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $3.72K
Potential payout: $33.19K
Potential profit: $29.47K
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: $146.06

If you invest $100 $892.86 back +$792.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.63K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.97K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$390.2

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 1:47 AM

PnL: $215.72
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $6.29K
Potential payout: $6.35K
Potential profit: $60.36
User PnL: $888.54

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $3.72K
Potential payout: $33.19K
Potential profit: $29.47K
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: $146.06

If you invest $100 $892.86 back +$792.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $188.19
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.4%
Current value: $4.42K
Potential payout: $5.24K
Potential profit: $820.79
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $154.34

If you invest $100 $118.55 back +$18.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $8.59K
Potential profit: $5.41K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$1.28K

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $117.04
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $15.75K
Potential profit: $13.98K
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: $235.21

If you invest $100 $892.86 back +$792.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $139.26
Potential payout: $4.04K
Potential profit: $3.9K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $44.49

If you invest $100 $2.9K back +$2.8K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $88.12
Volume: $0
Win rate: 45.9%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$893.05

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $98.75K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $50

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $74.26
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $4.62K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$105.82

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $436.31
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $566.69
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $35.1

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $73.34
Volume: $381
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $83.76

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $813.76
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$219.59

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $70.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 86%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58.4%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$1.22K

If you invest $100 $171.38 back +$71.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $594.91
Potential payout: $595.21
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $45.58

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $69.13
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $4.53K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$391.86

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $10.46K
Potential profit: $9.29K
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: $20.71

If you invest $100 $892.86 back +$792.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $65.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $4.76K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $1.24K

If you invest $100 $256.74 back +$156.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $10.06K
Potential profit: $8.93K
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: $152.17

If you invest $100 $892.86 back +$792.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $43.52
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $66.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $70.16

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$738.46

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $39.45
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $7.22K
Potential payout: $7.45K
Potential profit: $234.75
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $257.13

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $6.88K
Potential payout: $8.34K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $41.68

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $39.02
Volume: $341.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $23.95
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $868.89

If you invest $100 $102.25 back +$2.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $773.74
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $425.85
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $601.83

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.4%
Current value: $4.42K
Potential payout: $5.24K
Potential profit: $820.79
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $154.34

If you invest $100 $118.55 back +$18.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $3.72K
Potential payout: $33.19K
Potential profit: $29.47K
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: $146.06

If you invest $100 $892.86 back +$792.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $8.59K
Potential profit: $5.41K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$1.28K

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58.4%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$1.22K

If you invest $100 $171.38 back +$71.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $4.76K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $1.24K

If you invest $100 $256.74 back +$156.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $4.53K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$391.86

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

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