Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $16.92K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $18.92K
Potential profit: $14.57K
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $1.6K

If you invest $100 $434.78 back +$334.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $4.54K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $435.73 back +$335.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $36.3K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $6.16K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 9:15 AM

PnL: $3.02K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $12.6K
Potential payout: $16.69K
Potential profit: $4.09K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.71K
Volume: $3.55K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $5.69K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.51K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $5.09K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $382.88
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $849.1

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.36K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 78.1%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $4.21K
Potential payout: $4.25K
Potential profit: $33.96
User PnL: $2.73K

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.17K
Volume: $27.91K
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $17.59K
Potential payout: $18.18K
Potential profit: $590.78
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.53K

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $18.92K
Potential profit: $14.57K
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $1.6K

If you invest $100 $434.78 back +$334.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $2.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $86.93
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $163.27

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.83K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $14.77
User PnL: $832.08

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.18K
Volume: $4.04K
Win rate: 88%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $50.77
Potential payout: $507.7
Potential profit: $456.93
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $10.77

If you invest $100 $1K back +$900 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $33.44
Potential payout: $502.82
Potential profit: $469.38
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $13.44

If you invest $100 $1.5K back +$1.4K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.18K
Volume: $35.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $2.49K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $3.51K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$507

If you invest $100 $240.67 back +$140.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $4.54K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $1.31K

If you invest $100 $435.73 back +$335.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $15.84K
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $498.28
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.14K

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $13.48K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $88.2
User PnL: $969.41

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.04K
Volume: $35K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $722.03
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $371.95
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $165.08

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $907.06
Volume: $13.47K
Win rate: 86%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $36.3K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $6.16K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $28.04K
Potential payout: $30.98K
Potential profit: $2.94K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.19K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $902.57
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $10.82K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $363.33
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $128.1

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $81
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $54

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $856.74
Volume: $40
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $9.98K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $3.77K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $3.46K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$292.86

If you invest $100 $129.87 back +$29.87 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $15.84K
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $498.28
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.14K

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $12.6K
Potential payout: $16.69K
Potential profit: $4.09K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $9.98K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $3.77K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $9.46K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $540
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $960

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $5.09K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $382.88
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $849.1

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

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