Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.35K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $160.08K
Potential profit: $159.04K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $80.04

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $17.06K
Potential profit: $15.26K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$675.44

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 4.90x
User PnL: $429.5

If you invest $100 $490.44 back +$390.44 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 2:28 PM

PnL: $1.26K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $4.87K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.63K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $942.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $357.5
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $645.94

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $682.13
Volume: $0
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $582.3
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $924.88

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $477.89
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $548.1

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $522.6
Volume: $1.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $13.75
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $10.57

If you invest $100 $222.22 back +$122.22 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $9.2
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $7.2

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $515.01
Volume: $1.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $148.15
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $318.29

If you invest $100 $105.37 back +$5.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $81.67
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $150.63

If you invest $100 $103.41 back +$3.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $429.51
Volume: $1.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $563.43
Potential payout: $799.18
Potential profit: $235.76
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$6.16

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 74.2%
Current value: $465.75
Potential payout: $628.12
Potential profit: $162.37
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $465.75

If you invest $100 $134.86 back +$34.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $414.59
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $4.94K
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $343.2
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.06K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $4.31K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $403.22
Volume: $6.45
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $17.06K
Potential profit: $15.26K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$675.44

If you invest $100 $947.87 back +$847.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $336.76
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $991.03

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $389.66
Volume: $300
Win rate: 82.8%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $621.01
Potential payout: $796.17
Potential profit: $175.16
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $412.16

If you invest $100 $128.21 back +$28.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $17.72
Potential profit: $16.57
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$8.85

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $369.1
Volume: $600.31
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 78.8%
Current value: $23.63
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $6.38
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$1.34

If you invest $100 $126.98 back +$26.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be 83°F or below on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $19.93
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: -$0.03

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $360.19
Volume: $4.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $5.6K
Potential payout: $11.79K
Potential profit: $6.19K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$101.97

If you invest $100 $210.53 back +$110.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $3.91K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $584.43
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $156.7

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $342.94
Volume: $13.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $4.95K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.21K

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $160.08K
Potential profit: $159.04K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $80.04

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $337.29
Volume: $751.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $15.16K
Potential payout: $15.22K
Potential profit: $60.88
User PnL: $3.76K

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.1%
Current value: $7.8K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.4K

If you invest $100 $118.91 back +$18.91 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $4.87K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.63K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $4.31K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.36K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $3.91K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $584.43
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $156.7

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.38K
Potential payout: $3.62K
Potential profit: $236.89
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$18.9

If you invest $100 $107.01 back +$7.01 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $2.76K
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $148.15
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $318.29

If you invest $100 $105.37 back +$5.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $81.67
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $150.63

If you invest $100 $103.41 back +$3.41 estimated profit if it wins

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