Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $4.92K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $2.15K
Potential payout: $47.36K
Potential profit: $45.2K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $2.2K back +$2.1K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $9.43K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $40.58K
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: $4.92K

If you invest $100 $530.5 back +$430.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $27.76K
Potential profit: $25.4K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$5.65K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 2:34 PM

PnL: $774.6
Volume: $4.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $3.6K
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $51.11
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $763.35

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $15.69
User PnL: $392.89

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $772.63
Volume: $22.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $23.43
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $12.38
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $522.07
Volume: $16.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.71K
Potential payout: $6.56K
Potential profit: $2.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $425.78

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $2.15K
Potential payout: $47.36K
Potential profit: $45.2K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $2.2K back +$2.1K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $515.36
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $2.29K
Potential payout: $4.48K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $511.77

If you invest $100 $196.08 back +$96.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $513.47
Volume: $5.1K
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $2.89K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $3.01K
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $648.54

If you invest $100 $204.08 back +$104.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $877.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $422.5
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $580.94

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $472.25
Volume: $0
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $27.78K
Potential payout: $27.93K
Potential profit: $153.62
User PnL: $12.22K

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $21.34K
Potential payout: $21.44K
Potential profit: $96.47
User PnL: $9.28K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $396.49
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $9.43K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $40.58K
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: $4.92K

If you invest $100 $530.5 back +$430.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.2%
Current value: $7.05K
Potential payout: $9.02K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.62K

If you invest $100 $127.96 back +$27.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $391.71
Volume: $1.92K
Win rate: 70.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $15.26K
Potential profit: $13.45K
Multiplier: 8.44x
User PnL: -$461.77

If you invest $100 $843.88 back +$743.88 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $959.45
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $459.45

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $280.35
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.9%
Current value: $10.04K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$643.28

If you invest $100 $111.3 back +$11.3 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $217.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$82.5

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $277.65
Volume: $0
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $27.76K
Potential profit: $25.4K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$5.65K

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $78.54
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $968.68
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$150.46

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $277.19
Volume: $175.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.2%
Current value: $14K
Potential payout: $23.27K
Potential profit: $9.27K
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: $4.68K

If you invest $100 $166.25 back +$66.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $114.59

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $261.39
Volume: $10.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.9%
Current value: $14.96K
Potential payout: $16.65K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$21.84

If you invest $100 $111.3 back +$11.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $13.16K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $413.88
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $643.73

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $9.43K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $40.58K
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: $4.92K

If you invest $100 $530.5 back +$430.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.2%
Current value: $7.05K
Potential payout: $9.02K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.62K

If you invest $100 $127.96 back +$27.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $5.04K
Potential payout: $19K
Potential profit: $13.97K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$771.1

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.71K
Potential payout: $6.56K
Potential profit: $2.85K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $425.78

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $3.6K
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $51.11
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $763.35

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.4%
Current value: $3.09K
Potential payout: $13.85K
Potential profit: $10.75K
Multiplier: 4.47x
User PnL: $283.39

If you invest $100 $447.43 back +$347.43 estimated profit if it wins

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