Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $18.6K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.74K
Potential payout: $18.92K
Potential profit: $16.18K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$12.71

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $36.3K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $6.16K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 11:59 AM

PnL: $3.77K
Volume: $3.55K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $5.61K
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.44K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $5.08K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $391.08
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $840.9

If you invest $100 $107.7 back +$7.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.6K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $12.63K
Potential payout: $16.73K
Potential profit: $4.1K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.42K
Volume: $40
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $9.86K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $3.03K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.64K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $3.84K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $651.86
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $89.26

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.4K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 78.8%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.91K
Volume: $57.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $3.38K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$286.02

If you invest $100 $240.67 back +$140.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.8%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $439.56 back +$339.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.21K
Volume: $4.04K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $119.31
Potential payout: $507.7
Potential profit: $388.39
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $79.31

If you invest $100 $425.53 back +$325.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $1.18K
Volume: $2.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $2.65K
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $199.51
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $50.68

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 'Kingdom Come: Deliverance II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$60

PnL: $1.11K
Volume: $35K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $727.5
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $366.48
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $170.55

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.06K
Volume: $35.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $343.72
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $48.06

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $499.27
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.82K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $931.21
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $15.19K
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $493.18

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $13.47K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $94.99
User PnL: $962.63

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $906.53
Volume: $30.41K
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $17.88K
Potential payout: $18.18K
Potential profit: $299.93
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.82K

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.74K
Potential payout: $18.92K
Potential profit: $16.18K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$12.71

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $878.83
Volume: $13.47K
Win rate: 88%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $36.3K
Potential payout: $42.46K
Potential profit: $6.16K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $27.09K
Potential payout: $29.93K
Potential profit: $2.84K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $15.19K
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $493.18

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $12.63K
Potential payout: $16.73K
Potential profit: $4.1K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $9.86K
Potential payout: $12.88K
Potential profit: $3.03K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.64K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $9.64K
Potential payout: $15.68K
Potential profit: $6.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$823.42

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.34K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $655
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $845

If you invest $100 $107.01 back +$7.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $5.08K
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $391.08
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $840.9

If you invest $100 $107.7 back +$7.7 estimated profit if it wins

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