Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.01K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $12.48K
Potential payout: $20.98K
Potential profit: $8.5K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.01K

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $34.95K
Potential payout: $40.41K
Potential profit: $5.46K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$65.79

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $4.16K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $713.26

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 11:07 AM

PnL: $1.55K
Volume: $11.92K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $4.16K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $713.26

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $298.42
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $13.72

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $678.84
Volume: $4.03K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $2.16K
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $608.19
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $562.13

If you invest $100 $128.21 back +$28.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $608.22
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $417.77

If you invest $100 $153.85 back +$53.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $633.59
Volume: $2.79K
Win rate: 72%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $34.95K
Potential payout: $40.41K
Potential profit: $5.46K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$65.79

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $12.71K
Potential payout: $13.1K
Potential profit: $393.05
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.42K

If you invest $100 $103.09 back +$3.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $392.96
Volume: $7.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $166.95
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $137.61

If you invest $100 $111.86 back +$11.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $830.75
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$98.43

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $389.55
Volume: $320.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $9.87K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$822.15

If you invest $100 $113.31 back +$13.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $180
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$45

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $368.58
Volume: $18.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $3.93K
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $45.67
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $12.64

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $3.52K
Potential payout: $3.99K
Potential profit: $479.34
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $177.88

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $326.79
Volume: $12.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $14.56K
Potential payout: $15.1K
Potential profit: $536.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.28K

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $12.48K
Potential payout: $20.98K
Potential profit: $8.5K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.01K

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $246.72
Volume: $5.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $15.18K
Potential payout: $15.24K
Potential profit: $68.6
User PnL: $662.04

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $10.37K
Potential payout: $12.89K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.64K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $245.81
Volume: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $4.67K
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $607.2
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $799.58

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $4.23K
Potential payout: $5.71K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $1.27K

If you invest $100 $135.14 back +$35.14 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $183.47
Volume: $0
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 2

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $8.95K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $319.97
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.44K

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $595
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $405
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $115

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $177.32
Volume: $516.84
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $845
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $455
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $548.44

If you invest $100 $153.85 back +$53.85 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $704.25
Potential payout: $902.89
Potential profit: $198.64
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $290.36

If you invest $100 $128.21 back +$28.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $167.29
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $9.35K
Potential payout: $10.46K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$271.96

If you invest $100 $111.86 back +$11.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $5.79K
Potential payout: $6.56K
Potential profit: $770.86
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$338.69

If you invest $100 $113.31 back +$13.31 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $12.48K
Potential payout: $20.98K
Potential profit: $8.5K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.01K

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $10.37K
Potential payout: $12.89K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.64K

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $10.11K
Potential payout: $10.67K
Potential profit: $565.7
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$46.07

If you invest $100 $105.6 back +$5.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $9.87K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$822.15

If you invest $100 $113.31 back +$13.31 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $9.35K
Potential payout: $10.46K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$271.96

If you invest $100 $111.86 back +$11.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $8.95K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $319.97
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.44K

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

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