Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.64K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $142.03K
Potential profit: $140.11K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$449.66

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $13.85K
Potential profit: $10.67K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $366.46

If you invest $100 $435.73 back +$335.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $32.93K
Potential payout: $40.41K
Potential profit: $7.48K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$2.09K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 6:15 AM

PnL: $602.6
Volume: $4.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $5.79K
Potential payout: $11.7K
Potential profit: $5.91K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $131.65

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $3.93K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $561.95
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $179.18

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $399.08
Volume: $492.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $15.02K
Potential payout: $15.22K
Potential profit: $205.49
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.61K

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $7.76K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $119.4 back +$19.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $294.57
Volume: $199.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $14.67K
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$29.6

If you invest $100 $111.36 back +$11.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $13.41K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $156.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $901.56

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $242.1
Volume: $7.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $142.03K
Potential profit: $140.11K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$449.66

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.47K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.47K

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $204.31
Volume: $523.08
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $10.04K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$648.86

If you invest $100 $111.36 back +$11.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $17.89
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $51.2

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $202.37
Volume: $0
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $3.9K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $1.65K

If you invest $100 $151.52 back +$51.52 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $910
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $390
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $613.44

If you invest $100 $142.86 back +$42.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $193.36
Volume: $180.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.3%
Current value: $387.81
Potential payout: $940.14
Potential profit: $552.33
Multiplier: 2.42x
User PnL: $168.76

If you invest $100 $242.42 back +$142.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $53.53
Potential payout: $66.09
Potential profit: $12.56
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $23.53

If you invest $100 $123.46 back +$23.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $191.18
Volume: $0
Win rate: 76%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $32.93K
Potential payout: $40.41K
Potential profit: $7.48K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$2.09K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $14.19K
Potential payout: $16.41K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.23K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $170.77
Volume: $4.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $21.3
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2K

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $3.81
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $141.84
Volume: $5.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $187.29
Potential payout: $382.23
Potential profit: $194.94
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $52.36

If you invest $100 $204.08 back +$104.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kathleen Taylor win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $75.33
Potential payout: $243
Potential profit: $167.67
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $22.36

If you invest $100 $322.58 back +$222.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $133
Volume: $9.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $9.37K
Potential payout: $15.62K
Potential profit: $6.25K
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$1.06K

If you invest $100 $166.67 back +$66.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $9.1K
Potential payout: $12.06K
Potential profit: $2.95K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.08K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $127.91
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $122.5

If you invest $100 $202.02 back +$102.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $15.14
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$14.98

If you invest $100 $14.29K back +$14.19K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $14.19K
Potential payout: $16.41K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.23K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $13.41K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $156.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $901.56

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $9.37K
Potential payout: $15.62K
Potential profit: $6.25K
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$1.06K

If you invest $100 $166.67 back +$66.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $9.1K
Potential payout: $12.06K
Potential profit: $2.95K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.08K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $8.55K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $50

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $7.76K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.37K

If you invest $100 $119.4 back +$19.4 estimated profit if it wins

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