Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.71K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $21.33K
Potential profit: $20.1K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $871.01

If you invest $100 $1.74K back +$1.64K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $4.1K
Potential payout: $19.76K
Potential profit: $15.66K
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $3.77K

If you invest $100 $481.93 back +$381.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $282.09
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: -$6.78

If you invest $100 $766.28 back +$666.28 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 11:22 PM

PnL: $962.51
Volume: $9.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.83K
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $296.94
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $700.03

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $2.33K
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $78.2
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $147.65

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $726.75
Volume: $8.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $31.45
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $138.55
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $25.38

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $19.97
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0.01

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $690.75
Volume: $17.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $13.85
User PnL: $2K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: $1.78K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $581.7
Volume: $25.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $4.1K
Potential payout: $19.76K
Potential profit: $15.66K
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $3.77K

If you invest $100 $481.93 back +$381.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $4.1K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $2.91K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $595

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $548.9
Volume: $300
Win rate: 82.8%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $720.53
Potential payout: $796.17
Potential profit: $75.64
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $511.68

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $17.72
Potential profit: $16.92
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$9.2

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $507.4
Volume: $9.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $20.35
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $89.65
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $16.42

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will another outcome occur in the NY-10 Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $12.49
Potential payout: $594.81
Potential profit: $582.32
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$86.64

If you invest $100 $4.76K back +$4.66K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $469.31
Volume: $0
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $27.89K
Potential payout: $27.93K
Potential profit: $41.9
User PnL: $12.33K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $21.41K
Potential payout: $21.44K
Potential profit: $32.16
User PnL: $9.34K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $454.09
Volume: $11.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.01
Potential payout: $22.02K
Potential profit: $22.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$438.32

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10.87
Potential payout: $21.75K
Potential profit: $21.74K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$432.95

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $403.35
Volume: $50
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $225.96
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $174.04
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $25.96

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $172.01
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $28
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $72

If you invest $100 $116.28 back +$16.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $366.66
Volume: $1.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Maria Brewer be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $13.74
Potential payout: $94.76
Potential profit: $81.02
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $10.58

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mike Tapp be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $13.2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $16.8
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $12.37

If you invest $100 $227.27 back +$127.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $313.83
Volume: $783.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jalen Duren play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $23.25
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $51.75
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $20.98

If you invest $100 $322.58 back +$222.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jalen Duren play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $18.34
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $56.66
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: $16.06

If you invest $100 $409 back +$309 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $291.06
Volume: $0
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $3.93K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $1.68K

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $955.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $344.5
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $658.94

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.83K
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $296.94
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $700.03

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $2.33K
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $78.2
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $147.65

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $354.81
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $36.97

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $21.33K
Potential profit: $20.1K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $871.01

If you invest $100 $1.74K back +$1.64K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $46.86
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $128.13

If you invest $100 $104.49 back +$4.49 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $955.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $344.5
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $658.94

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

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