Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $35.91K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $65.55K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $230.4K
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $64.39K

If you invest $100 $451.47 back +$351.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.9%
Current value: $138.82K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $192.88K
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: -$22.52K

If you invest $100 $238.95 back +$138.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.63K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.97K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$390.2

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 6:52 PM

PnL: $9.28K
Volume: $594
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.24K
Potential payout: $12.25K
Potential profit: $6.12
User PnL: $7.13K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $0.72
User PnL: $793.89

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.49K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.39K
Potential payout: $6.39K
Potential profit: $3.2
User PnL: $3.86K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.98K
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $2.49
User PnL: $3.21K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.54K
Volume: $3.25K
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.25K
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $1.63
User PnL: $2.04K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: $1.06K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.23K
Volume: $48.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $29.97K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: $49.8

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25.06K
Potential payout: $25.07K
Potential profit: $12.54
User PnL: $25.37

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.77K
Volume: $13.7K
Win rate: 58.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.15K
Potential payout: $7.15K
Potential profit: $3.58
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $17.06K
Potential profit: $15.14K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$556.02

If you invest $100 $888.89 back +$788.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.35K
Volume: $6.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.9%
Current value: $138.82K
Potential payout: $331.7K
Potential profit: $192.88K
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: -$22.52K

If you invest $100 $238.95 back +$138.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $65.55K
Potential payout: $295.96K
Potential profit: $230.4K
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $64.39K

If you invest $100 $451.47 back +$351.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.04K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.9K
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: $1.09K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $4.22
User PnL: $132.43

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.91K
Volume: $10.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.89K
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $2.95
User PnL: $421.39

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.97K
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: $1.18K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.73K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $7.44K
Potential payout: $7.45K
Potential profit: $14.9
User PnL: $476.97

If you invest $100 $100.2 back +$0.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $6.88K
Potential payout: $8.34K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $41.68

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.58K
Volume: $8.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $398.23K
Potential payout: $400.03K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: $70.03K

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.69K
Potential payout: $6.69K
Potential profit: $3.35
User PnL: $1.57K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.41K
Volume: $11.97K
Win rate: 35.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $768.49
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $422.97
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$75.73

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $478.64
Potential payout: $587.36
Potential profit: $108.72
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $26.37

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.25K
Volume: $2.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.93K
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.94K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $3.89K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.83K
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$1.15K

If you invest $100 $250 back +$150 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $6.88K
Potential payout: $8.34K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $41.68

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.63K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.97K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$390.2

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.3%
Current value: $4.4K
Potential payout: $5.35K
Potential profit: $946.91
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $256.79

If you invest $100 $121.51 back +$21.51 estimated profit if it wins

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.93K
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.94K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $3.89K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.83K
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$1.15K

If you invest $100 $250 back +$150 estimated profit if it wins

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