Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $8.03K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $41.98K
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$16.98K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $5.2M TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $30.3K
- Potential profit
- $28.74K
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$3.29K
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $41.98K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $8.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $16.98K
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #1
dadadabababab
0xb49f...12e6 Public
- PnL
- $4.99M
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $57.1
- Potential payout
- $57.19
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $56.73
- Potential payout
- $57.19
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- User PnL
- $18.82
Rank #2
bravenewboy
0xad4a...ddb8 Public
- PnL
- $204.7K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $415
- Potential payout
- $415
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $339.71
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $212.5
- Potential payout
- $212.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $204
Rank #3
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $633.42
- Volume
- $22.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $2.41K
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $132.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.27K
N
No position
Brazil vs. Haiti: Neither team to score first?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $46.73
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$5.27
Rank #4
Waterfall
0x6385...93f2 Public @911Waterfall
- PnL
- $436.01
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $3.37K
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $420.95
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $452.7
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $2.38K
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $331.18
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $296.11
Rank #5
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876
0x2b67...b814 Public
- PnL
- $343.39
- Volume
- $1.84K
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $7.63K
- Potential payout
- $9.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $3.34K
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $6.71K
- Potential payout
- $7.64K
- Potential profit
- $932.43
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $773.12
Rank #6
WindsonC
0x76aa...c4f4 Public @Windson_go
- PnL
- $317.31
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $5.13K
- Potential payout
- $5.89K
- Potential profit
- $765.85
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $125.33
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $2.53K
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $352.22
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $534.86
Rank #7
Dzibra1998.
0x0dba...71e9 Public
- PnL
- $282.59
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 76.5%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $2.33K
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $324.08
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $405.87
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $55.19
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $150.07
Rank #8
iForgor
0x0562...9d66 Public @iForgor_PM
- PnL
- $220
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $6.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.85K
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.34K
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $429.17
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $778.84
Rank #9
tja
0xe1b3...1426 Public
- PnL
- $195.32
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $41.98K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $8.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $16.98K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $8.03K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $41.98K
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$16.98K
Rank #10
e46m3
0x4f1d...8de2 Public @love_u_4ever
- PnL
- $170.25
- Volume
- $6.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.96K
- Potential payout
- $4.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.48
- User PnL
- $4.66K
Brazil position
Spread: Haiti (-1.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $8.51
- User PnL
- $41.25
Rank #11
Sreisz
0xddd8...e6f7 Public
- PnL
- $156.71
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.15K
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $5.74
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Rank #12
bAF62E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0-E7475
0xb0d6...7475 Public
- PnL
- $155.49
- Volume
- $6.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $34.98
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $29.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $29.87
- Potential payout
- $30.01
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- -$0.11
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $6.71K
- Potential payout
- $7.64K
- Potential profit
- $932.43
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $773.12
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $5.13K
- Potential payout
- $5.89K
- Potential profit
- $765.85
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $125.33
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $3.75K
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $170.37
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.1%
- Current value
- $3.58K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $3.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $506.61
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $6.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.85K
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $3.37K
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $420.95
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $452.7
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Live
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Match WinnerGame Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5) Jun 10, 2026
Match Winner LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C
Yes100% No0%
Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Saigon Dino (+1.5)
Yes50% No50%
Market Live
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Yes62.5% No37.5%
Market Live
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?
Yes3.5% No96.6%
Market Live
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Yes5.1% No94.9%
Market Live
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Yes33.5% No66.5%