Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $5.09K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $8.83K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $41.18K
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: $4.32K

If you invest $100 $566.57 back +$466.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $2.34K
Potential payout: $15.59K
Potential profit: $13.25K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$4.23K

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $5.8K
Potential payout: $19K
Potential profit: $13.21K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$11.1

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 8:50 AM

PnL: $963.51
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $2.71K
Potential payout: $4.48K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $937.51

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $844.99
Volume: $3.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $3.59K
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $58.41
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $756.05

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $2.07K
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $20.92
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $387.66

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $631.8
Volume: $7.89K
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $2.9K
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $71.27
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $306.34

If you invest $100 $102.46 back +$2.46 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $58.48

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $496.8
Volume: $533
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $798.66
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $450.64

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $304.2
Potential payout: $447.35
Potential profit: $143.15
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $154.12

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $444.56
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $13.61K
Potential payout: $23.27K
Potential profit: $9.66K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $4.3K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $2.85K
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $575.71

If you invest $100 $153.85 back +$53.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $359.72
Volume: $2.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $15.02K
Potential payout: $15.16K
Potential profit: $144.02
User PnL: $3.67K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $7.79K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.39K

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $348.54
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $15.75K
Potential profit: $14.03K
Multiplier: 9.17x
User PnL: $187.97

If you invest $100 $917.43 back +$817.43 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $856.03
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$452.65

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $338.69
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $8.83K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $41.18K
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: $4.32K

If you invest $100 $566.57 back +$466.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.3%
Current value: $7.06K
Potential payout: $9.02K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.62K

If you invest $100 $127.8 back +$27.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $336.31
Volume: $10.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $14.89K
Potential payout: $16.65K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$88.44

If you invest $100 $111.79 back +$11.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $12.93K
Potential payout: $13.57K
Potential profit: $644.57
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $413.04

If you invest $100 $104.99 back +$4.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $328.5
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $4.47K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.25K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$565.17

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.04K
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.99K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $321.05
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $11.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$687.99

If you invest $100 $111.79 back +$11.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $195
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$60

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $291.01
Volume: $200
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $27.04
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $190.02

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $854.4
Potential payout: $868.29
Potential profit: $13.89
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $73.01

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $8.83K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $41.18K
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: $4.32K

If you invest $100 $566.57 back +$466.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $7.79K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.39K

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.3%
Current value: $7.06K
Potential payout: $9.02K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.62K

If you invest $100 $127.8 back +$27.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $6.73K
Potential payout: $13.88K
Potential profit: $7.15K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $394.6

If you invest $100 $206.19 back +$106.19 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $5.8K
Potential payout: $19K
Potential profit: $13.21K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$11.1

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $4.47K
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $5.25K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$565.17

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

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