Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $60.81K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $32.75
Potential payout: $648.47
Potential profit: $615.72
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $20.43

If you invest $100 $1.98K back +$1.88K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $3.49K
Potential payout: $10.73K
Potential profit: $7.24K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$133.46

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $11.48K
Potential payout: $18.98K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $679.7

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 9:36 PM

PnL: $14.99K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 53.8%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $26.52K
Potential payout: $28.03K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $10.9K

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $23.47K
Potential payout: $24.72K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $9.56K

If you invest $100 $105.32 back +$5.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.56K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $6.8K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $6.4K
Volume: $66.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $11.48K
Potential payout: $18.98K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $679.7

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $11.14K
Potential payout: $11.25K
Potential profit: $112.48
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.47K

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.83K
Volume: $4.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $11.12K
Potential payout: $11.75K
Potential profit: $634.51
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.22K

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $4.5K
Potential payout: $4.97K
Potential profit: $477.47
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $3.04K

If you invest $100 $110.62 back +$10.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.07K
Volume: $94.47
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $8.49K
Potential payout: $8.97K
Potential profit: $484.41
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $2.87K
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $304.34
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.16K

If you invest $100 $110.62 back +$10.62 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.08K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 2

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.38

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$2

PnL: $2.92K
Volume: $4.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $205.71
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.71K

If you invest $100 $110.62 back +$10.62 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $97.1
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.64K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $3.41K
Potential payout: $3.78K
Potential profit: $362.57
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.41K

If you invest $100 $110.62 back +$10.62 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.31K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $8.13
User PnL: $1.81K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.52K
Volume: $1.13K
Win rate: 70%
Open positions: 1

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $8.37K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $899.62
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.86K

If you invest $100 $110.74 back +$10.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.36K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.74K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $260
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.94K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $3.49K
Potential payout: $10.73K
Potential profit: $7.24K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$133.46

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.29K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $163.13
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $880.03

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $2.82K
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $303.13
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.23K

If you invest $100 $110.74 back +$10.74 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $11.14K
Potential payout: $11.25K
Potential profit: $112.48
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.47K

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $8.37K
Potential payout: $9.27K
Potential profit: $899.62
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.86K

If you invest $100 $110.74 back +$10.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.74K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $260
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.94K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $3.49K
Potential payout: $10.73K
Potential profit: $7.24K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$133.46

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $2.7K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $1.6K

If you invest $100 $185.19 back +$85.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $57.83
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $65.17

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

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Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Yes5.9% No94.1%

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes4.6% No95.5%

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Yes27.6% No72.4%

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes16% No84%

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Yes6.1% No93.9%

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes12% No88%