Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $712.51 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $102.94
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $7K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$769.44

If you invest $100 $6.9K back +$6.8K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $60.08
Potential payout: $801
Potential profit: $740.93
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$288.86

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $320.31
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$36.28

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 5:42 AM

PnL: $90.38
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $86.93
Volume: $155.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $419.69
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $27.82

If you invest $100 $384.62 back +$284.62 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $353.04
Potential payout: $784.53
Potential profit: $431.49
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $76.42

If you invest $100 $222.22 back +$122.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $84.23
Volume: $1.92K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $102.94
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $7K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$769.44

If you invest $100 $6.9K back +$6.8K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $25.94
Potential payout: $741.17
Potential profit: $715.23
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$402.56

If you invest $100 $2.86K back +$2.76K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $77.99
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $42.54
Potential payout: $46.24
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.09

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $6.49
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $269.51
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$222.84

If you invest $100 $4.26K back +$4.16K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $69.09
Volume: $3.21K
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
User PnL: -$900

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$40

PnL: $64.3
Volume: $1.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $348.88
Potential payout: $623
Potential profit: $274.12
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $170.59

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $346.83
Potential payout: $573.27
Potential profit: $226.44
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $312.43

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $62.15
Volume: $728.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $526.59
Potential payout: $984.28
Potential profit: $457.69
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $76.84

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $414
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$12.12

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $61.2
Volume: $1.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $14.01
Potential payout: $19.46
Potential profit: $5.45
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.19

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $13.07
Potential payout: $3.73K
Potential profit: $3.72K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$63.12

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $59
Volume: $35.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Lime's market cap be between $1.4B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $37.41
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $5.59
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $6.45

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Lime's market cap be between $2.3B and $2.6B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $36.77
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $6.23
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $6.67

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $57.25
Volume: $205.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $15.38
Potential payout: $99.21
Potential profit: $83.84
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $9.18

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $14.82
Potential payout: $141.16
Potential profit: $126.34
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $6

If you invest $100 $952.38 back +$852.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $56.38
Volume: $753.34
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $115.16
Potential payout: $470.05
Potential profit: $354.89
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $7.74

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $110.9
Potential payout: $119.89
Potential profit: $8.99
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.6

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $52.44
Volume: $742.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $160.11
Potential payout: $355.8
Potential profit: $195.69
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$6.53

If you invest $100 $222.22 back +$122.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $153.4
Potential payout: $160.04
Potential profit: $6.64
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.23

If you invest $100 $104.33 back +$4.33 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $353.04
Potential payout: $784.53
Potential profit: $431.49
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $76.42

If you invest $100 $222.22 back +$122.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $352.05
Potential payout: $397.8
Potential profit: $45.75
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.66

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $348.88
Potential payout: $623
Potential profit: $274.12
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $170.59

If you invest $100 $178.57 back +$78.57 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $346.83
Potential payout: $573.27
Potential profit: $226.44
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $312.43

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $341.04
Potential payout: $358.24
Potential profit: $17.2
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $215.3

If you invest $100 $105.04 back +$5.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $320.31
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$36.28

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

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